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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Newcastle logo

Chelsea
2 - 0
Newcastle

Giroud (31'), Werner (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview: Chelsea vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chelsea will be looking to make it five wins in a row in all competitions when they continue their 2020-21 Premier League campaign at home to Newcastle United on Monday night.

The Blues have been impressive since Thomas Tuchel's appointment, moving up into fifth position in the Premier League table, while Newcastle have won two of their last three in England's top flight to ease any relegation fears.


Match preview

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Tuchel's reign started with a goalless draw at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers on January 27, but Chelsea have won each of their four matches since then, overcoming Burnley, Tottenham Hotspur and Sheffield United in the Premier League, conceding just one goal in the process.

The Blues have now moved into fifth position in the table, just one point behind fourth-placed Liverpool, although there is a strong possibility that the picture will have changed by the time that they take to the field on Monday, with the majority of the teams around them playing over the weekend.

Chelsea are now very much back in a top-four race, which seemed to be drifting away under Frank Lampard, and there is no question that Tuchel has made a positive impression since his arrival.

The capital giants also managed to book their spot in the quarter-finals of the FA Cup on Thursday evening as they recorded a 1-0 win over Championship outfit Barnsley, with Tammy Abraham on the scoresheet.

The Blues will face Atletico Madrid in the first leg of their last-16 Champions League tie on February 23 but will be looking to win their next two in the league at home to Newcastle and away to Southampton before ending February with a huge clash at home to Manchester United.

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Newcastle, meanwhile, have won seven, drawn four and lost 12 of their 23 Premier League matches this season to sit 16th in the table, 10 points clear of the relegation zone.

Only West Bromwich Albion (15) and Sheffield United (18) have lost more league games than the Magpies this term, and there was huge pressure on head coach Steve Bruce following the 2-1 loss at home to Leeds United on January 26.

Newcastle have picked up six points from the last available nine, though, overcoming Everton and Southampton either side of a defeat to Crystal Palace. Bruce's team are not safe as there is still a lot of football to be played, but the gap to the relegation zone is healthy taking everything into consideration.

The Magpies will be the underdogs heading into Monday's clash, but they have won two of their last six Premier League games against Chelsea, who were far from convincing against Barnsley on Thursday.

That said, the Blues have won each of their last eight home games with Newcastle in all competitions, including a 1-0 victory when they locked horns in the corresponding match during the 2019-20 campaign.

Chelsea Premier League form: WLDWWW
Chelsea form (all competitions): WDWWWW

Newcastle United Premier League form: LLLWLW


Team News

Chelsea's Timo Werner looks dejected after missing a penalty on January 24, 2021© Reuters

Chelsea will definitely be without the services of experienced centre-back Thiago Silva due to a muscular problem, meaning that Andreas Christensen should feature in the middle of the back three.

Timo Werner was not risked against Barnsley due to a dead leg, but the Germany international is expected to be available for this game. Kai Havertz has also recently been missing due to a knock, and it is unclear whether the summer arrival will be passed fit for Monday night's contest.

The team is expected to have a similar look to the one that started against Sheffield United last weekend, with Mason Mount and Werner featuring in the wide areas, but there could be a spot through the middle for Abraham, with Olivier Giroud potentially dropping to the bench.

N'Golo Kante made his first start under Tuchel on Thursday, meanwhile, and the France international could now feature in a Premier League XI for the new boss.

As for Newcastle, leading scorer Callum Wilson is facing an extended period on the sidelines with a hamstring problem, while Fabian Schar and Javier Manquillo are also on the treatment table.

Jeff Hendrick is suspended due to the red card that he picked up against Southampton, and Jamaal Lascelles and Federico Fernandez are also huge doubts for the visitors due to fitness issues.

Allan Saint-Maximin and Miguel Almiron should both keep their spots in attacking areas for the Magpies, while Joelinton replaced Wilson off the bench against Southampton, and it seems likely that the Brazilian will get the nod over Andy Carroll in the final third of the field at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Christensen, Rudiger; James, Jorginho, Kante, Chilwell; Mount, Abraham, Werner

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Darlow; Krafth, Clark, Dummett, Lewis; Hayden, Willock, Shelvey, Almiron; Joelinton, Saint-Maximin


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 2-0 Newcastle United

The Blues have been much-improved under Tuchel and will be taking on a Newcastle side missing their leading scorer. Chelsea's home record this season is actually the third-best in the Premier League, and we fancy the capital giants to continue their strong form with a routine victory over Bruce's team.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea vs Newcastle

Chelsea
77.6%
Draw
11.8%
Newcastle United
10.6%
245
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Isaac Hayden celebrates scoring for Newcastle on January 18, 2020
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1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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