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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Brentford logo

Chelsea
1 - 4
Brentford

Rudiger (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Janelt (50', 60'), Eriksen (54'), Wissa (87')

Preview: Chelsea vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking a seventh win on the bounce in all competitions, Chelsea resume Premier League action with the visit of Brentford to Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon for a West London derby.

The Blues progressed in the FA Cup with a 2-0 win over Middlesbrough before the international break, while the Bees most recently lost 2-1 to Leicester City.


Match preview

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel on the touchline against Middlesbrough on March 19, 2022.© Reuters

The continued uncertainty surrounding Chelsea's future off the pitch has appeared to galvanise Thomas Tuchel's troops, who have done a stellar job of focusing on their on-field matters as they continue to fight for success on three fronts this term.

Hakim Ziyech and Romelu Lukaku were both on target as Chelsea advanced to the semi-finals with a 2-0 victory over Boro in the FA Cup last time out, with that result following Champions League success against Lille and a controversial top-flight triumph over Newcastle United.

Tuchel may already have one eye on the first leg of his side's Champions League quarter-final with Real Madrid on Wednesday evening, but the Blues will not want to lose their grip on third place in the Premier League table, with the European champions comfortably five points clear of fourth-placed Arsenal.

Winning six on the bounce in all tournaments is just what the doctor ordered for Chelsea before the unforgiving April schedule begins, and the Blues also enter Saturday's game on a five-game victorious run in the Premier League - conceding just one goal in the process.

Tuchel's side have also gone 17 games unbeaten at their West London home since that 1-0 loss to Manchester City back in September, and only Liverpool (7) have conceded fewer top-flight goals on their own turf than Chelsea (10) this term, with the Blues seeking to make Brentford's short journey across the capital a miserable one.

Brentford manager Thomas Frank applauds fans after the match on March 20, 2022© Reuters

After seemingly turning a corner in March with back-to-back wins over Norwich City and Burnley, Brentford were given a harsh reality check upon their visit to the King Power Stadium, with two stunning Leicester efforts condemning the Bees to yet another defeat.

Timothy Castagne and James Maddison both produced sumptuous finishes for the Foxes before the half-time whistle blew, and even though Yoane Wissa made things interesting with a goal of his own five minutes from time, Brentford could not make the net ripple again.

Securing their spot in the big time for the 2022-23 season is proving somewhat more challenging than initially anticipated for Thomas Frank's side after their storming start to the season, but the 15th-placed Bees still sit comfortably eight points clear of the trapdoor, although 18th-placed Watford do have a game in hand.

Failure to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 Premier League games away from home does spell concern for Brentford ahead of a visit to the Champions League holders, and it would be a shock to see their tally of one win from their last 11 top-flight games on the road improve in the capital this weekend.

Furthermore, Chelsea have already claimed a pair of victories over Brentford in the EFL Cup and Premier League this term - keeping two clean sheets to boot against their West London rivals and finding the back of the net three times in that span.

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Brentford Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

 Chelsea's Andreas Christensen during the warm up before the match, January 8, 2022© Reuters

Chelsea's Ben Chilwell remains out for the long-term, and Tuchel has also confirmed that Callum Hudson-Odoi is still sidelined, but Andreas Christensen and Reece James should both be fit to return.

However, the Blues boss will most likely want to avoid taking any unnecessary risks on the duo, while Saul Niguez and Kepa Arrizabalaga could both be back in the squad following recent bouts of illness.

Christian Pulisic will be a late arrival back from international duty, so a spot could open up for Timo Werner to rejoin the attack after finding the back of the net for Germany against Israel alongside Kai Havertz.

Meanwhile, Brentford's Josh Dasilva has completed his three-match ban but has now picked up a hamstring injury, and Julian Jeanvier remains out of contention with his serious knee injury.

Saman Ghoddos tested positive for COVID-19 alongside Christian Eriksen before the Leicester game, but the latter returned with a bang for Denmark - scoring in both of their friendlies versus the Netherlands and Serbia.

Frank will assess the fitness of the playmaker, but he ought to be fine to take his place in the hole at Stamford Bridge, while Wissa will be in no mood to drop out after his consolation against Leicester.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Silva, Rudiger, Alonso; Kante, Kovacic; Ziyech, Mount, Werner; Havertz

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Raya; Ajer, Jansson, Pinnock, Henry; Norgaard, Jensen; Mbeumo, Eriksen, Wissa; Toney


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 2-0 Brentford

Chelsea will most likely look to wrap up third place as soon as possible in order to focus on shots at silverware in the FA Cup and Champions League, so expect a ruthless showing from Tuchel's in-form side here.

Eriksen's return and strong international period will at least give Brentford a bit more of a creative spark, but Chelsea should still have no problems recording another straightforward victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 79.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.54%) and 1-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea vs Brentford

Chelsea
85.9%
Draw
8.8%
Brentford
5.4%
205
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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