Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.