CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 11, 2024 2.00am
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Arnos Vale Ground
  • Evan Brandon John 43' goal
  • Evan Brandon John 43' goal
  • Shak Adams 63' goal
  • Shak Adams 63' goal
  • Tristan Marshall 68' yellowcard
  • Tristan Marshall 68' yellowcard
  • Tre Crosby 81' yellowcard
  • Tre Crosby 81' yellowcard
  • goal Styven Vasquez 20'
  • goal Styven Vasquez 20'
  • yellowcard Rudy Clavel 39'
  • yellowcard Rudy Clavel 39'
  • yellowcard Julio Enrique Sibrian Molina 55'
  • yellowcard Julio Enrique Sibrian Molina 55'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cruz 62'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cruz 62'
  • yellowcard Tereso Alexi Benitez 65'
  • yellowcard Tereso Alexi Benitez 65'
  • goal Jose Santos Ortiz Asencio 70'
  • goal Jose Santos Ortiz Asencio 70'
  • yellowcard Alexander Larin 81'
  • yellowcard Alexander Larin 81'
  • goal F 87'
  • goal F 87'

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 9.00pm
St Vincent & Gr. 2 - 0 Montserrat

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 9, 2024 2.00am
El Salvador 2 - 1 Bonaire

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 29.4% (+0.39)
Draw 24.16% (+0.10)
El Salvador 46.44% (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.15% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.95% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 44.05% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 33.57% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 66.43% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 17.2% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 82.79% (+0.15)

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals

Over 0.5 71.89% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 28.1% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 36.22% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 63.77% (-0.20)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 80.88% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 19.12% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 49.25% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 50.75% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 29.4%
Draw 24.16%
El Salvador 46.44%
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines
2-1 @ 7.16% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.82% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.33% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.03% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 29.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.16%
El Salvador
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 46.44%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jun 9, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
  • Oalex Anderson 43' goal
  • Kenijah Joseph 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jairo Henriquez 10'
  • yellowcard Adan Alberto Climaco Calderon 30'
  • goal Rafael Tejada 60'
  • goal Nelson Bonilla 83'