Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Renan Lodi 27' goal
  • Bernard 39' goal
  • Alan Franco 46' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  61' yellowcard
  • Victor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Dudu 79' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rotceh Aguilar 45'+1'
  • yellowcard A. Yovera 46'
  • yellowcard M. Martinich 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cavero 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Romagnoli 70'

Atletico Mineiro vs Cienciano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Juventud 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro

Cienciano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 6, 2026 1.30am
Puerto Cabello 3 - 0 Cienciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.91% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%) , while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 56.4% (-0.04)
Draw 23.91% (+0.04)
Cienciano 19.72% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.81% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.62% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 28.38% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 46.9% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 53.07% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.61% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 75.39% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.26% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.74% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 38.1%
Draw 42.38% (-0.04)
Cienciano 19.52% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 59.08% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.25% (+0.03)
Cienciano 32.67% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.57% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.43% (+0.01)
Under 8 29%
Over 9 47.76% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.43% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.58% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 63.42% (+0.03)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 48.7% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 51.3% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 22.75% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 77.25% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 8.46% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.54% (+0.07)

Cienciano Goals

Over 0.5 52.76% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 47.24% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.38%
Under 3.5 98.62%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 56.4%
Draw 23.92%
Cienciano 19.72%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.64% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.45% (-0.07)
Total : 56.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.92%
Cienciano
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 19.72%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
  • Neri Bandiera 30' goal
  • A. Yovera 64' yellowcard
  • Henry Caparó 70' yellowcard
  • Matías Succar 88' yellowcard
  • Rotceh Aguilar 89' yellowcard
  • Juan Romagnoli 89' yellowcard
  • Matías Succar 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernard 46'
  • yellowcard Alan Minda 46'
  • yellowcard Mateus Iseppe 79'
  • yellowcard Cauã Soares 79'
  • yellowcard Luís Gustavo 79'
  • yellowcard 80'
Copa Sudamericana
May 30, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Arena MRV
  • Rony 10' goal
  • Lyanco 43' goal
  • Lyanco 43' goal
  • Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos 57' yellowcard
  • Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos 57' yellowcard
  • Hulk 72' yellowcard
  • Hulk 72' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Cueva 45'+7'
  • goal Christian Cueva 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 69'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 69'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 2, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
  • Alexi Gomez 20' yellowcard
  • Alexi Gomez 20' yellowcard
  • Danilo Ortiz 74' yellowcard
  • Danilo Ortiz 74' yellowcard
  • Carlos Garces 79' yellowcard
  • Carlos Garces 79' yellowcard
  • Claudio Torrejon 84' yellowcard
  • Claudio Torrejon 84' yellowcard