Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Pablo Lago 57' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Peralta 57' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Chagas 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Pérez 73' yellowcard
  • Pablo Lago 78' goal
  • Sebastián Guerrero 80' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Pérez 87' goal
  • goal Alan Minda 37'
  • yellowcard Tomás Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 46'
  • yellowcard Reinier 65'
  • yellowcard Dudu 66'
  • goal Vitor Hugo  77'

Juventud vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventud

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Juventud 4 - 0 Puerto Cabello

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Cienciano 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Juventud win was 1-0 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Juventud 31.99% (-0.41)
Draw 26.7% (-0.04)
Atletico Mineiro 41.28% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.06% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 28.94% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 46.41% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 53.59% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 25.89% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.11% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.38% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.62% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Juventud 23.76% (-0.06)
Draw 46.87% (-0.07)
Atletico Mineiro 29.37% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Juventud 39.93% (-0.21)
No Goal 8.56% (-0.08)
Atletico Mineiro 51.51% (+0.27)

Corners

Over 8 46.74% (+0.72)
Equal 8 12.54% (+0.05)
Under 8 40.72% (-0.76)
Over 9 35.02% (+0.61)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.13)
Under 9 53.26% (-0.72)
Over 10.5 24.99% (+0.45)
Under 10.5 75.01% (-0.45)

Juventud Goals

Over 1.5 31.08% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 68.92% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 11.35% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.65% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.63% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.37% (+0.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 28.65% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 37.93% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 62.07% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 15.68% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 84.32% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 5.18% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.82% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Juventud 31.98%
Draw 26.7%
Atletico Mineiro 41.28%
Juventud
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.62% (-0.07)
Total : 31.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.7%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 11.09% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.48% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.95% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.85% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.1% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.64% (+0.06)
Other @ 5.17% (+0.08)
Total : 41.28%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Bernard 43' goal
  • Cauã Soares 60' yellowcard
  • Bernard 60' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 60' yellowcard
  • Hulk  60' yellowcard
  • Dudu 70' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cassierra 70' yellowcard
  • Alexsander  84' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cassierra 90' goal
  • goal Facundo Pérez 55'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Guerrero 60'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Gómez 61'
  • yellowcard Leonel Roldán 68'
  • yellowcard Gastón Pereiro 84'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lago 84'
  • yellowcard Alejo Cruz 84'