Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Juventud win was 1-0 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.