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Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Nov 16, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
Bahia

Coritiba
1 - 2
Bahia

Augusto (3')
Robson (31'), Mailton (72'), Augusto (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elber (36'), Zeca (72')
Danielzinho (57'), Rodrigoinho (71'), Ronaldo (87'), Gregore (90+3')

Preview: Coritiba vs. Bahia - prediction, team news, form guide

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Bahia, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Bahia will be looking to make it three victories on the spin in the Brazilian top flight on Monday when they take on Coritiba.

The visitors have defeated Botafogo and Fortaleza in their last two matches to climb up to ninth, five points better off than Coritiba, who have won one of their last four games.


Match preview

Coritiba head coach Rodrigo Marques pictured on November 8, 2020© Reuters

After beating Botafogo with a dramatic 99th-minute penalty from Rodriguinho last week, Bahia were again grateful for a spot kick - this time converted by Gilberto - in their victory over Fortaleza last time out.

It is now three wins in their last four games for Mano Menezes's side, who are currently in a Copa Sudamericana qualifying spot but will be looking up at the top six, which means a place in the Copa Libertadores second round.

Bahia are competing in the Sudamericana this term and have a two-legged last-16 tie with Argentinian side Santa Fe to come over the next few weeks, the home leg of which is scheduled for November 24.

Before then, the Tricolor have a couple more league matches and the aim will be to maintain their momentum and climb the table as they look to improve on last season's 11th-placed finish.

Opponents Coritiba, who have been heavily hit by a coronavirus outbreak in the camp, are more concerned about staying above the relegation zone in what is their first season back in the top tier of Brazilian football.

Despite their long list of absentees, Jorginho's men drew 2-2 with Internacional in their most recent match - Sabino scoring 16 minutes from time to snatch a solid point against the division's top-placed side.

That came on the back of a 1-0 win over Atletico Goianiense, so the hosts have some momentum of their own ahead of this clash with Bahia.

Bahia head coach Mano Menezes pictured in October 2020© Reuters

However, they are level on points with Botafogo, who occupy the final relegation spot and have a game in hand to play.

Having spent the vast majority of the campaign in the bottom four, the challenge for Jorginho and his players over the remaining 18 matchdays is to stay afloat.

Another positive result on Monday will see them go a long way to achieving that target, though top-six chasing Bahia will have other ideas.

Coritiba Brasileiro form: DWLLWD

Bahia Brasileiro form: LDWLWW
Bahia form (all competitions): WLLWWW


Team News

Coritiba

Out: Matheus Galdezani (coronavirus), Nathan Silva (coronavirus), Alex Muralha (coronavirus), Patrick de Oliveira (coronavirus), Matheus Bueno (coronavirus), Rafinha (ankle)

Bahia

Out: Joao Pedro (knee), Ernando (muscle)


SM words green background

We say: Coritiba 0-2 Bahia

Bahia's return to form has come at the right time as they balance two competitions, with a Sudamericana last-16 tie on the horizon.

The visitors have won three games in a row in all competitions, keeping a clean sheet in two of those, and we can see them maintaining both of those runs on Monday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo33208552262668
2PalmeirasPalmeiras33197754272764
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo33178851371459
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo331761047341357
7Cruzeiro33138123835347
8Bahia33137134342146
9Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
10Atletico Mineiro331012114247-542
11Corinthians331011123941-241
12Gremio33116163842-439
13Vitoria33115173848-1038
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR33107163541-637
15Fluminense33107162836-837
16CriciumaCriciuma33910143948-937
17JuventudeJuventude33910144052-1237
18BragantinoBragantino33812133440-636
19Cuiaba33611162541-1629
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3368192450-2626


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