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[monks data]
Crewe Alexandra
League One | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crewe
1 - 1
Doncaster

Porter (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Olowu (45+4')
Galbraith (45+1'), Williams (56'), Anderson (74'), Smith (81'), Dahlberg (90+4')

Preview: Crewe Alexandra vs. Doncaster Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The sides who occupy the bottom two positions in the League One table will face off on Tuesday, when Crewe Alexandra welcome Doncaster Rovers to the Mornflake Stadium.

The hosts are rooted to the bottom of the table with only eight points to their name, while Doncaster have collected 11 points, which leaves them four points adrift of safety.


Match preview

Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell on August 24, 2021© Reuters

It has been a disappointing campaign for Crewe so far after winning just one of their 15 league games this season, which leaves them seven points off safety.

Tuesday's hosts are winless in their previous eight league encounters, while their previous four league matches have all ended in defeat.

In their most recent outing, Crewe conceded four goals for the second consecutive home game when they suffered a 4-1 defeat to MK Dons.

In that encounter, Chris Long cancelled out Mo Eisa's opener, but the floodgates then opened with Matt O'Riley netting before Donervon Daniels scored an own goal, with Max Watters wrapping up the scoring for MK Dons.

If David Artell's side are to start winning games, they will need to improve at both ends of the pitch, scoring just 11 league goals, while shipping 28 goals this term.

Swindon Town manager Richie Wellens in November 2019© Reuters

Doncaster have also struggled this term, winning just three league games, and as a result are languishing in the relegation zone.

Before Saturday's encounter with Charlton Athletic, Richie Wellens's side had collected four points from their previous two games, but any confidence built from those performances was quashed at the weekend.

At The Valley, Rovers did not offer much resistance, conceding two goals in either half as Charlton eased to a 4-0 victory.

The concern for Doncaster will be the fact they have scored the fewest number of goals in the league, with Rovers only finding the net on 10 occasions this term.

Wellens will also be apprehensive of another away trip, as his side are still looking for their first point on the road this season after losing all seven of their away league games.

Crewe Alexandra League One form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Crewe Alexandra form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Doncaster Rovers League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Leeds United's Adam Forshaw pictured in action against Crewe Alexandra on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Crewe's Ben Knight has returned to light training following an ankle problem, but Tuesday's fixture comes too soon for the Manchester City loanee.

The hosts will be without Callum Ainley, who has a hamstring injury.

Artell brought Mikael Mandron into the starting lineup at the weekend, and the forward is set to lead the line once again on Tuesday.

Fejiri Okenabirhie is still absent with an Achilles problem, while Cameron John is also unavailable due to a back issue.

Rovers are also without the services of Ben Close with the midfielder out due to a hamstring injury.

Meanwhile, Tommy Rowe was introduced in the second half at the weekend, and he is likely to start the encounter at left-back.

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Jaaskelainen; Adebisi, Daniels, Offord, McFadzean; Murphy, Robertson, Lowery; Long, Bennett, Mandron

Doncaster Rovers possible starting lineup:
Dahlberg; Olowu, Williams, Anderson, Rowe; Galbraith, Bostock, Smith; Vilca, Hiwula, Dodoo


SM words green background

We say: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

Both sides will see this as a great opportunity to collect a rare victory, and given the fact that Crewe have won their last three competitive home fixtures against Doncaster, we think the hosts will edge this encounter.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Crewe vs Doncaster

Crewe Alexandra
63.3%
Draw
20.0%
Doncaster Rovers
16.7%
30
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Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell pictured in October 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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