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Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jul 11, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
 
Ceara

Cuiaba
2 - 2
Ceara

Elton (26'), Jenison (90+2')
Pepe (34')
Pepe (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rick (57'), Jael (66')
Jorginho (12'), Jael (81')

Preview: Cuiaba vs. Ceara - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cuiaba will be looking to build on their draw against erstwhile Brasileiro leaders Bragantino when they take on Ceara at Arena Pantanal on Sunday.

The Green-Gold enter this fixture 18th in the division after a long winless run, while Ceara are nine points better off in ninth place.


Match preview

Cuiaba's Rafael Gava celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates June 23, 2021© Reuters

Cuiaba may remain without a win in eight matches this season, but they can be pleased with their 1-1 draw against a Bragantino side that sat top of the division ahead of the game.

Bruno Praxedes gave unbeaten Bragantino the lead with just short of half an hour played, though Jenison equalised 11 minutes from time for a valuable point.

That was Jorginho's first game in charge and provides the Green-Gold with a platform to build on ahead of games with Ceara, Chapecoense and Corinthians before the end of July.

While Cuiaba ended a three-game scoreless run against Bragantino last time out, they are still the joint-second lowest scoring side in the division with five goals to their name.

That does not bode well against a Ceara side on a three-game run without conceding a goal. Indeed, Guto Ferreira's side have let in just 10 goals all season.

Ceara's Saulo Mineiro with teammates after the match on June 20, 2021© Reuters

The Vozao are unbeaten in six matches since going down 2-1 to Bahia on June 17, taking 10 points from a possible 18 during that period.

A goalless draw with Fluminense can be considered a positive result for Ceara, especially having survived a scare when Caio Paulista's early goal was ruled out for offside.

Ferreira's men are just three points off a Copa Libertadores qualifying spot, and they will be looking up the division rather than down ahead of Sunday's trip to Arena Pantanal.

Cuiaba Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D

Ceara Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D



Team News

Ceara's Vinicius Lima celebrates scoring their first goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Clayson returned from suspension against Bragantino, meaning that Murilo Rangel, Everton Sena and Yuri are Cuiaba's only doubts for this game due to injury.

Jonathan Cafu made an impact from the bench in the draw with Bragantino and is among those in contention for a recall against Ceara.

As for the visitors, Vitor Jacare is recovering from a cruciate ligament injury and will therefore play no part in this contest.

Joao Ricardo and Vinicius Machado are also carrying injuries, but Cleber is at least back available again following a recent one-match ban.

However, Ferreira may decide to use Saulo Mineiro up top, as the 24-year-old scored on his last appearance in the 2-0 win against Juventude.

Cuiaba possible starting lineup:
Walter; Lucas, Marllon, Paulao, Hernandez; Pepe, Gava, Gomes; Cafu, Elton, Clayson

Ceara possible starting lineup:
Richard; Buiu, Lacerda, Messias, Kelvyn; Sobral, Adriano; Mendoza, Vina, Lima; Mineiro


SM words green background

We say: Cuiaba 0-1 Ceara

Ceara have drawn their last four away matches, failing to score in three of those.

However, Cuiaba have themselves struggled for both goals and points at home this term, and we can see the visitors picking up their fourth win of the campaign on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Ceara

Cuiaba
13.8%
Draw
24.1%
Ceara
62.1%
29
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