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Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Sep 5, 2021 at 1am UK
 
Santos

Cuiaba
2 - 1
Santos

Cafu (4'), Elton (88')
Reijers de Olivera (28'), Yuri (78'), Elton (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pirani (64')
Guilherme (75')

Preview: Cuiaba vs. Santos - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Santos make a trip to Arena Pantanal on Sunday morning, to challenge Cuiaba as both sides look to climb the table.

Without a win in each of their previous four league games, Santos will be looking to pick up all three points in this contest to set the record straight.


Match preview

Cuiaba's Rafael Gava celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates June 23, 2021© Reuters

Newly-promoted Cuiaba are enjoying a decent return to the Brasileiro, where they are occupying 15th place, having garnered 21 points from 18 matches to hold a three-point safety buffer over the relegation places.

Last time out in the league, Dourado delivered a masterful performance to hold Fortaleza to a goalless draw on away soil, as they dug deep to match their opponent on the day.

Despite being underdogs heading into the game, Cuiaba could easily have won the match but had profligacy to blame, after failing to convert any of their 11 shots, including five on target.

Now, Dourado are unbeaten in their previous six matches, winning two in that time - 1-0 and 2-0 victories over Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras respectively - and conceding only three goals.

It appears that defence is the foundation of what Jorginho is making an attempt to build at the Arena Pantanal, as he hopes to avoid relegation to keep his side in the Brasileiro at the end of the season.

Santos' Marinho celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on June 25, 2021© Reuters

Formerly heavyweights in this division, Santos have gradually lost their place at the top of Brazilian football, having failed to clinch the league title since their triumph as far back as 2004.

Far from their utmost best last season, the eight-time champions could only muster an eighth place finish in the standings, to stay 17 points off the summit.

This time around, head coach Fernando Diniz is looking to lead the club to a better league finish but will have his work cut out for him to achieve this feat.

Santos, who are currently in 11th place, having picked up 22 points from 18 matches, have failed to win any of their previous four league games - most recently suffering a 4-0 hammering at the hands of reigning champions Flamengo.

Also, Peixe's away form is not encouraging, having only won one game on the road this season, with the solitary victory coming against basement club Chapecoense.

Cuiaba Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Cuiaba form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Santos Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L

Santos form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Santos' Kaiky is shown a red card by referee Leodan Gonzalez on August 13, 2021© Reuters

Continuing his recovery from a broken foot, Caio Mota will not be available for this fixture.

Having accumulated too many yellow cards, midfielder Pepe is suspended for this game, and is likely to be replaced by Rafael Gava in the centre of the park.

Elton is Cuiaba's top scorer at the moment, but Jorginho is expected to continue to leave the 36-year-old on the bench, while favouring the partnership of Jenison and Yesus Cabrera up top.

Santos suffered a heavy defeat last time out, and head coach Fernando Diniz might consider tinkering his starting XI here.

Peixe's recovery room is quite full at the moment, as the likes of Luiz Felipe, Kaiky Melo, Marinho, John, Kevin Malthus, Sandry and Jobson continue to nurse their respective injuries.

Cuiaba possible starting lineup:
Walter; Lucas, Marllon, Paulao, Uendel; Camilo, Auremir, Gava, Clayson; Cabrera, Jenison

Santos possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Jonatan, W. Leonardo, Felipe, Madson; Mota, Camacho; Braga, Pirani, Sanchez; M. Leonardo


SM words green background

We say: Cuiaba 0-0 Santos

This is a difficult one to call as both sides are equally matched on paper, and desperate for a win to steer clear of the relegation zone.

Hence, we should expect a cautious game with the two teams happy to head home with a point in the bag.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Santos

Cuiaba
30.3%
Draw
45.5%
Santos
24.2%
33
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Santos' Lucas Braga celebrates with teammates after an own goal scored by Libertad and Santos' second on August 13, 2021
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