Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Teplice win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ceske Budejovice had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Teplice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Ceske Budejovice win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Teplice would win this match.