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DC United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2021 at 1am UK
RFK Stadium
New York Red Bulls

DC United
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Kamara (27')
Alfaro (12'), Brillant (87'), Hamid (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (47'), Klimala (69'), Edwards (80'), Casseres Jr (83')

Preview: DC United vs. New York Red Bulls - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Separated by just one point in the MLS table, DC United and New York Red Bulls go head-to-head at the Audi Field on Sunday.

Both sides are also looking to put together a good run of form following a rough patch which has seen them win just one of their last five league matches apiece.


Match preview

DC United forward Edison Flores celebrates after scoring a goal against the Chicago Fire on May 13, 2021© Reuters

DC United failed to win away from home for the fourth game running as they were held to a 2-2 draw by Chicago Fire at the Soldier Field on Thursday.

Hernan Losada's men showed great resolve to come from two goals down, as late strikes from Kevin Paredes and Ola Kamara were enough to rescue a point.

The Black-and-Red find themselves three points behind the last playoff place as things stand, albeit having played a game more than New York City FC in seventh.

Their record against this weekend's opponents leaves much to be desired, as they have only tasted victory in two of the last 17 meetings between the teams.

Sunday's hosts have also failed to find the back of the net in each of the last four, which is something that must change if they are to turn their fortunes around.

New York Red Bulls manager Gerhard Struber after the game on May 29, 2021© Reuters

New York Red Bulls were denied a third home win on the trot following a 1-1 stalemate against Philadelphia Union on Thursday.

Despite playing the last 30 minutes of the tie with a numerical advantage, Gerhard Struber's men failed to make the most of it, as Sergio Santos's 85th-minute leveller cancelled out Patryk Klimala's penalty on the hour mark.

With 18 points from 13 outings so far, the Metro are only a point behind their city rivals, who currently occupy the last playoff berth.

However, only five of those 18 points have come on the road for Sunday's visitors, which is an area that needs a significant improvement.

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

DC United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

DC United forward Edison Flores celebrates after scoring a goal against the Chicago Fire on May 13, 2021© Reuters

Andres Reyes and Youba Diarra are both out with muscle injuries, but the former is nearing a return to action in the coming weeks.

Daniel Royer's thigh problem means that he is unavailable for the trip to Washington, while Aaron Long is currently nursing an Achilles Tendon injury.

DC United will be without the services of Paul Arriola and Donovan Pines, who are representing the United States at the ongoing Gold Cup.

Joined on the sidelines by Edison Flores, Brendan Hines-Ike is still struggling with a broken hip bone and will also sit out the contest.

DC United possible starting lineup:
Hamid; Alfaro, Brilliant, Najar; Mora, Moreno, Nyeman, Gressel; Asad, Kamara, Robertha

New York Red Bulls possible starting lineup:
Miguel; Tarek, Edwards, Duncan, Tolkin; Amaya, Davis, Yearwood; Fabio, Carmona, Klimala


SM words green background

We say: DC United 1-1 New York Red Bulls

The game promises to be an exciting watch, as both sides will feel that they have enough to pick up all three points. While we expect goals at both ends, we are also backing a share of the spoils, with the teams having to settle for a point apiece in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: DC United vs NY Red Bulls

DC United
23.1%
Draw
46.2%
New York Red Bulls
30.8%
26
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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