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[monks data]
Israel national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 5pm UK
Bloomfield Stadium
Denmark national football team

Israel
0 - 2
Denmark


Lavi (59'), Tibi (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Braithwaite (13'), Wind (67')
Braithwaite (7'), Schmeichel (54')

Preview: Israel vs. Denmark - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Israel and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Israel and Denmark square off on Thursday evening as both nations look to get their World Cup qualifying campaign off to a winning start.

In a well-balanced group which also includes Austria and Scotland, the result of this contest could prove decisive come the end of the year.


Match preview

Denmark players celebrate against Sweden on November 11, 2020© Reuters

Having been drawn alongside Belgium and England in the UEFA Nations League, Denmark would have acknowledged that finishing in third position in that group was a realistic possibility.

However, as well as claiming second spot ahead of the Three Lions, Denmark were in contention for top spot until they lost out 4-2 to the group frontrunners in their concluding fixture.

While that defeat ended a five-match winning streak in all competitions, there is a feeling that the Scandinavian nation are on the up under Kasper Hjulmand.

The Red and Whites have not qualified for successive World Cups since 1998 and 2002, but they begin this campaign as favourites to book their place in Qatar.

Despite his indifferent form at Inter Milan, Christian Eriksen came out of the Nations League fixtures with the most credit after scoring four goals in six appearances.

Israel manager Willibald Ruttensteiner pictured in October 2020© Reuters

As far as Israel are concerned, it has been Eran Zahavi who has spearheaded somewhat of a resurgence for the national team with five strikes over the same period.

At 33 years of age, the PSV Eindhoven star will not be a long-term fixture in his squad, but his presence in the final third makes Israel the dark horses of this group.

Since the resumption of international action in September, only Czech Republic have defeated Israel over 90 minutes, with notable wins coming against Scotland and Slovakia.

Although Willibald Ruttensteiner will accept that his side need to find something extra over the next eight months, they could find themselves in contention for a first World Cup since 1970 later this year.

Israel form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Denmark form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L


Team News

Denmark manager Kasper Hjulmand pictured on November 15, 2020© Reuters

Hjulmand could select the same Denmark side which pushed Belgium on away territory before the end of last year.

However, with a game in Austria concluding this three-game stretch, consideration will be given to resting players ahead of the trip to Vienna.

Joachim Andersen is in contention for a return to the centre of the backline after impressing for Fulham since the turn of the year.

After their morale-boosting win over Scotland last time out, Ruttensteiner is unlikely to make major alterations to his Israel side.

With Sheran Yeini not featuring in the squad, Joel Abu Hanna could be drafted into a back five marshalled by Celtic's Nir Bitton.

Israel possible starting lineup:
Marciano; Dasa, Bitton, Tibi, Hanna, Menachem; Natcho, Lavi, Solomon; Weissman, Zahavi

Denmark possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Wass, Kjaer, Christensen, Maehle; Hojbjerg, Delaney; Poulsen, Eriksen, Braithwaite; Wind


SM words green background

We say: Israel 1-2 Denmark

Israel may relish their tag as underdogs for this game as they bid to make an early move in Group F. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the visitors, who will be full of belief after their results in the UEFA Nations League.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Israel had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.


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