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Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Hull logo

Derby
3 - 1
Hull City

Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')

Preview: Derby County vs. Hull City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Derby County will be bidding to return to winning ways in the Championship when they continue their 2021-22 campaign at home to Hull City on Tuesday night.

The home side are currently 23rd in the table, boasting 15 points from their opening 29 matches, while Hull sit 19th, 12 points clear of the relegation zone heading into the next set of fixtures.


Match preview

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney on February 2, 2022© Reuters

Derby would be 16th in the Championship table had they not been hit with a 21-point deduction, with Wayne Rooney's side winning eight, drawing 12 and losing nine of their 29 league games this term.

The Rams are currently 23rd in the division with 15 points, seven points from the safety of 21st spot, meaning that the club still have an uphill battle to secure what would be a sensational survival.

Rooney's side were in stunning form between December 11 and January 15, winning four of their five Championship matches, but they have only picked up one point from their last three league games, drawing with Birmingham City, in addition to losing to Nottingham Forest and Huddersfield Town.

Derby were last in action away to Huddersfield on February 2, suffering a 2-0 defeat courtesy of late goals from Duane Holmes and Jordan Rhodes in West Yorkshire.

The Rams have won their last two league games against Hull, though, including a 1-0 victory when the pair locked horns for the reverse fixture earlier this term.

Hull City's Ryan Longman celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Hull, meanwhile, will enter the contest off the back of a 1-0 home defeat to Preston on Saturday, which ended an impressive run of form in England's second tier.

Indeed, the Tigers had won three straight matches against Blackburn Rovers, Bournemouth and Swansea City between January 19 and January 29 before losing against Preston.

Hull have won nine, drawn five and lost 15 of their 29 league matches this season to collect 32 points, which has left them in 19th spot in the table, some 12 points clear of the relegation zone.

Shota Arveladze's side are preparing to enter a tough run of matches, with their three games after this one coming against Fulham, Sheffield United and Queens Park Rangers.

The Tigers have picked up 14 points from their 14 away league games this term and will be facing a Derby side that have won six, drawn six and lost just two of their home Championship fixtures in 2021-22.

Derby County Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Derby County form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Hull City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Hull City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Derby County's Richard Stearman is shown a red card by referee Matthew Donohue on February 2, 2022© Reuters

Derby will be missing Richard Stearman on Tuesday through suspension following his red card in the defeat to Huddersfield last time out.

As a result, there is expected to be a spot in the back four for Krystian Bielik, who was required off the bench on Wednesday following Stearman's dismissal in the early exchanges.

Louie Sibley, Festy Ebosele and Lee Buchanan returned to the starting side at the John Smith's Stadium, and it would not be a surprise to see all three feature from the first whistle once again.

As for Hull, Andy Cannon, Josh Emmanuel, Mallik Wilks, Callum Elder, Lewie Coyle and Alfie Jones will miss the contest through injury.

New signings Allahyar Sayyadmanesh, Marcus Forss and Liam Walsh were named on the bench against Preston, with Matt Ingram coming into the side between the sticks.

There are not expected to be any real surprises in the away side's starting XI on Tuesday, with leading goalscorer Keane Lewis-Potter retaining his spot in attack.

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Allsop; Byrne, Bielik, Davies, Buchanan; Sibley, Thompson, Knight, Ebosele; Lawrence; Plange

Hull City possible starting lineup:
Ingram; Bernard, Greaves, McLoughlin; Longman, Docherty, Smallwood, Fleming; Honeyman, Eaves, Lewis-Potter


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 1-1 Hull City

This is a huge game for Derby, who need to return to winning ways as soon as possible if they are to move closer to safety. Hull's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the two sides could end up cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Derby vs Hull City

Derby County
64.1%
Draw
21.8%
Hull City
14.1%
78
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General view of Hull City's KCOM Stadium taken May 2017
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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