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[monks data]
Attendance: 27,412
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Hull logo

1-0

Clarke (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Derby County vs. Hull City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Hull City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Derby County will be looking to continue their impressive run of form when they welcome Hull City to Pride Park in the Championship on Saturday afternoon.

The Rams are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions, but they are still down in 17th position in the Championship table, six spots behind their opponents this weekend.


Match preview

Excitable Derby boss Phillip Cocu on January 11, 2020© Reuters

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough season to date for Derby, but it does appear that the team are moving in the right direction in the early stages of 2020.

Since losing 3-0 at Reading on December 21, Derby are unbeaten in five matches in all competitions, including wins against Charlton Athletic and Barnsley in the Championship. Phillip Cocu's side also progressed to the fourth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 1-0 victory at Crystal Palace.

Wayne Rooney's presence has had a lot to do with the team's improvement, and the former England captain again played the full 90 minutes against Middlesbrough at the Riverside Stadium last weekend.

It did appear that the Rams were heading for a 2-1 loss to Jonathan Woodgate's side, but Duane Holmes snatched a point at the death.

Derby are still down in 17th position in the table, though, some eight points off the playoffs, meaning that they would have to put together some run of form in order to become a part of the top-six argument.

Hull City's Jarrod Bowen in action on January 1, 2020© Reuters

Cocu's side will feel that they have one of the most influential players in the Championship in the shape of Rooney, but Hull will also feel the same about Jarrod Bowen.

The attacker has scored 16 times in 27 Championship appearances this season, and the Tigers will do well to keep hold of him beyond the end of the January transfer window due to the interest in his services.

Like Derby, the Tigers have progressed to the next round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 3-2 success over Rotherham United, but they lost 1-0 at home to Fulham in the Championship last weekend.

Grant McCann's side have enjoyed a solid campaign to date, though, and currently sit 11th in the table, just three points off the playoffs heading into what should be a fascinating clash at Pride Park on Saturday.

Derby Championship form: LLDWWD
Derby form (all competitions): LDWWWD

Hull Championship form: DWLWWL
Hull form (all competitions): WLWWWL


Team News

Derby Country's Wayne Rooney celebrates after Jack Marriott scored their first goal on January 2, 2020© Reuters

Derby will without the services of Krystian Bielik due to a season-ending knee injury, while George Evans, Graeme Shinnie, Mason Bennett Ikechi Anya and Jack Marriott are also still unavailable.

Tom Huddlestone could be involved in central midfield alongside Rooney, though, while Tom Lawrence, Jason Knight and Martyn Waghorn should also all keep their spots in the final third of the field.

As for Hull, Josh Magennis and Callum Elder could both be involved having recovered from hamstring problems, while new signing Martin Samuelsen, who has joined from West Ham United, is in line for his debut.

Stephen Kingsley, Jon Toral, Kevin Stewart and Angus MacDonald remain unavailable, but McCann has plenty of options heading into Saturday's clash.

Herbie Kane turned out against Fulham last weekend having joined on loan from Liverpool and should feature again here, while Tom Eaves is expected to keep his spot at the tip of the attack.

Derby possible starting lineup:
Hamer; Bogle, Clarke, Davies, Lowe; Huddlestone, Rooney; Lawrence, Holmes, Knight; Waghorn

Hull possible starting lineup:
Long; Pennington, Burke, Wijs, Lichaj; Bowen, Kane, Lopes, Grosicki; Irvine; Eaves


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Derby 2-1 Hull

Both managers will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result in this match. Hull are certainly capable of causing the home side problems, but we just fancy Derby to collect three important points.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).


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Excitable Derby boss Phillip Cocu on January 11, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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