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[monks data]
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Reading logo

Derby
1 - 0
Reading

Forsyth (33')
Stearman (16'), Byrne (59'), Shinnie (74'), Lawrence (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Derby County vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Derby County will host Reading on Wednesday and The Rams will look to move onto a positive points tally with a victory after they received a 12-point deduction for going into administration.

Reading currently sit in ninth position and are three points off a playoff place having won their last three league games.


Match preview

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Derby are bottom of the Championship with -2 points and they face the prospect of more deductions, which could leave The Rams with an insurmountable task to avoid relegation.

On the pitch, draws have been the story of Derby's early season as they have seen four games finish all square and they have only won on two occasions in the league this term.

With a squad that has had little investment, Wayne Rooney will be pleased with his side's efforts this season, but he will be disappointed with their most recent result that ended in defeat.

They seemed set to hold Sheffield United to a goalless draw at the weekend, however The Blades won a penalty in the 89th minute and Billy Sharp stepped up to dispatch the spot kick to snatch all three points.

If Derby are to close the gap between them and safety then they need to find the net more regularly as they have only managed to score six league goals this season.

Reading's Ovie Ejaria celebrates after scoring their first goal against Fulham in the Championship on September 18, 2021© Reuters

Reading currently have 13 points to their name and enter this fixture full of confidence after winning their last three matches.

However, their season did not start in such a positive manner as The Royals only collected four points from their first six Championship fixtures.

Since then, their form has turned for the better and their most recent victory came at the weekend when Alen Halilovic's goal was enough to edge out Middlesbrough.

Unlike Wednesday's opponents, Reading are having no problems finding the net, as they have scored 16 goals this term and John Swift has netted seven of those to become the joint top-scorer in the Championship heading into the midweek set of fixtures.

Reading will feel they have a great chance of getting their fourth consecutive win on Wednesday, especially as they won both league encounters against Derby last season.

Derby County Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Derby County form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Reading Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Derby County and Nottingham Forest players clash on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Derby will be without Colin Kazim-Richards and Krystian Bielik, who are both unavailable through injury.

Goalkeeper Kelle Roos was sent off at the weekend, so Ryan Allsop will start the game in goal for The Rams.

Reading have numerous injury absentees that include centre-backs Tom Holmes and Michael Morrison.

Luke Southwood has impressed in goal recently and kept his place in the starting lineup on Saturday despite Rafael Cabral returning to the squad after a hand injury and the young goalkeeper will start again on Wednesday.

Paunovic could name the same lineup as he aims to guide his side to their fourth successive victory.

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Allsop; Byrne, Jagielka, Davies, Buchanan; Bird, Shinnie, Morrison; Sibley, Baldock, Lawrence

Reading possible starting lineup:
Southwood; Tetek, Yiadom, Laurent, Baba; Drinkwater, Dele-Bashiru, Swift; Halilovic, Ejaria, Hoilett


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 0-2 Reading

Unfortunately for Derby they will face a Reading side in red hot form and with all the turmoil off the pitch we think that could only hinder the hosts and that The Royals could collect their fifth victory of the league season on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Derby vs Reading

Derby County
24.7%
Draw
17.2%
Reading
58.1%
93
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Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in December 2020
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