Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.