Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.