Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Eindhoven in this match.