Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.