Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.