Aston Villa head to Everton on Thursday evening knowing that victory is a must if they are to realistically avoid relegation from the Premier League.
The Villans beat Crystal Palace on Sunday to remain within four points of safety with three games to go, while Everton are stuck in mid-table following defeat to Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Match preview
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The pressure was on Villa heading into their clash with Crystal Palace at the weekend after seeing West Ham United and Watford pick up victories on Saturday.
A first league win since January 21 - secured thanks to a couple of goals from flop winger Trezeguet - ensures that the Villans have hope of beating the drop.
For that to happen, though, they will have to match that performance against Everton, another side who - just like Palace - have very little to play for on the face of it.
Indeed, Toffees boss Carlo Ancelotti admitted as much on the back on Sunday's 3-0 reverse at the hands of Wolves, a result that leaves the Merseyside outfit 11th in the table.
Everton are winless in three matches and are now 10 points off sixth-placed Wolves, meaning that Europa League qualification is out of the question.
Ancelotti will at least take solace from his side's home form, with Everton unbeaten at Goodison Park in the league since the end of November.
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That 10-game unbeaten home streak is Everton's best since December 2016 and second only to city rivals Liverpool in terms of ongoing runs.
Coming away from Goodison Park with all three points will be a massive ask for Villa, then, but with Arsenal up next that has to be the target on Thursday evening.
Villa came out on top when the sides met in the Midlands earlier this season, with Wesley Moraes and Anwar El Ghazi on target to register the Villans' first points of the season.
However, not since 2001-01 have Villa secured a league double over Everton, and they have lost each of their last three meetings at Goodison Park.
After ending a 10-game wait for a victory last time out, Smith's side now need to make it back-to-back wins for the first time since October to remain on course for a great escape.
Everton's Premier League form: DWWLDL
Aston Villa's Premier League form: LDLLLW
Team News
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Yerry Mina picked up an injury in the first half of the defeat to Wolves, so Ancelotti will be hopeful of having Mason Holgate back in time for Thursday's match.
If not, youngster Jarrad Branthwaite is in line for a full Premier League debut in what will likely be a four-man defence.
Andre Gomes and Alex Iwobi are also pushing for inclusion after missing out on Sunday, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin's place may be in doubt after failing to score since the restart.
Villa are without Kortney Hause after he pulled up in the warm-up at the weekend and there is also a question mark over Neil Taylor's fitness.
Ezri Konsa is likely to continue partnering Tyrone Mings at the back, while changes further forward are unlikely on the back of a rare win last time out.
If Smith is keen to freshen things up slightly, though, then Keinan Davis is in contention to replace Mbwana Samatta up top.
Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Sidibe, Holgate, Keane, Digne; Iwobi, Davies, Gomes, Gordon; Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin
Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Reina; Elmohamady, Konsa, Mings, Targett; McGinn, Luiz, Hourihane; Trezeguet, Davis, Grealish
We say: Everton 2-0 Aston Villa
This is a game Villa must realistically take three points from to keep their survival hopes intact. Everton may have little to play for, but they have a good home record this season and will be desperate to bounce back following a recent slump in form.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
