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Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Tondela

Famalicao
2 - 2
Tondela

Rodrigues (10'), Campana (28')
Riccieli (45'), Herrera (83'), Figueiras (90')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gonzalez (45+2'), Murillo (45+3')
Tavares (12')

Preview: Famalicao vs. Tondela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Tondela travel to Famalicao on Monday evening knowing that three points should be enough to secure their Primeira Liga status for another 12 months.

Meanwhile, Famalicao head into this contest sitting three points clear of the relegation zone after their recent return to form.


Match preview

Pako Ayestaran, now in charge of Tondela, pictured in 2016© Reuters

When Ivo Vieira was appointed as the new Famalicao boss last month, the 45-year-old was given the task of trying to galvanise a team which were struggling for goals and appeared destined for relegation.

However, Vieira has already guided his new team to 11 points from six matches, scoring 12 goals and earning draws against the likes of Braga and Sporting Lisbon.

Famalicao have much work ahead if they want to secure a third successive season in the top flight, but it would now come as a surprise if they do not get over the line in the coming weeks.

Anderson Silva and Ivan Jaime have been regular contributors on the scoresheet under Vieira, while Wolverhampton Wanderers loanee Leonardo Campana finally netted his first goal of the season in Thursday's 3-0 victory at Gil Vicente.

Opponents Tondela would have been content with avoiding relegation having ended the last campaign down in 14th position.

A run of three wins in four matches has changed their targets, the club now having the opportunity to finish as high as sixth with a strong end to the season.

Former Liverpool assistant Pako Ayestaran has worked wonders with this group of players, although he will acknowledge that a couple of negative results will see the Auriverdes dragged back into a scrap to avoid the drop.

Mario Gonzalez has been the difference maker since the middle of March, contributing six goals and one assist from his last five appearances.

Tondela's last five triumphs in Portugal's top flight have all been by a one-goal margin, the most recent coming against bottom-of-the-table outfit Nacional on Thursday.

Famalicao Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Tondela Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Having scored as substitutes against Gil Vicente, Jaime and Campana could be rewarded with a place in the Famalicao starting lineup.

Barring any late fitness issues, the rest of the team could remain the same after their strong end to the game in midweek.

Ayestaran will almost certainly make a couple of changes to his Gil Vicente side after their comeback win versus Nacional.

Salvador Agra and Tiago Almeida could both be included in the team, taking the place of Roberto Olabe and Bebeto respectively.

Famalicao possible starting lineup:
Junior; Figueiras, Riccieli, Willian, Vinagre; Jamie, Assuncao, Pepe; Dias, Campana, Rodrigues

Tondela possible starting lineup:
Trigueira; Almeida, Tavares, Alves, Ferreira; Augusto, Grau, Barbosa; Murillo, Gonzalez, Agra


SM words green background

We say: Famalicao 1-1 Tondela

While both teams have reasons to push for all three points on Monday, they will also be wary of suffering a defeat which could cost them further down the line; that could lead to a draw being played out, potentially with the visitors finding a late equaliser.


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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Famalicao vs Tondela

Famalicao
63.0%
Draw
22.2%
Tondela
14.8%
27
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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