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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 2
Mar 5, 2022 at 11pm UK
Nippert Stadium
DC United

Cincinnati
0 - 1
DC United


Blackett (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kamara (90+8' pen.)
Smith (90+1')
Nyeman (80')

Preview: FC Cincinnati vs. DC United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

DC United are looking to build on their positive start to the new MLS campaign, while FC Cincinnati will want to bounce back after a poor result on the opening day.

The two teams meet at the TQL Stadium on Saturday in gameweek two of the Eastern Conference, with visitors DC United currently sitting second in the table.


Match preview

FC Cincinnati celebrates a goal late in the first half against Orlando City SC at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Pat Noonan's side could not have started this season in a worse way, suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat at the hands of Austin FC last weekend, placing Cincinnati rock bottom of the league on goal difference.

The Orange and Blues did create chances in that game, but the hosts were too clinical in front of goal, with Austin scoring all five of the shots they registered on target.

That result is a worrying sign for Noonan's side, who have commenced this campaign in a similar way to how they were performing last season, when they finished bottom of the table.

A major aspect of their poor year last term was that they conceded too many goals, 74 in total from 34 outings, and having allowed Austin to score five last Saturday, this weekend's hosts will have to improve on their defensive capabilities to record a better result this time around.

DC United head coach Hernan Losada leaves the field after the game against the Charlotte FC at Audi Field on February 26, 2022© Reuters

Hernan Losada's side, in contrast, began their campaign in style against new outfit Charlotte FC last weekend, when a brace from Michael Estrada and a second-half strike from Ola Kamara sealed a 3-0 win on home soil.

The Black and Reds showed their efficiency in that outing, as Charlotte dominated possession and created more chances, but DC United managed to take their chances when they fell to them.

That result has given this weekend's visitors the opportunity to top the table by the end of gameweek two, and they will be keen to put together a winning run to build momentum in this early stage of the year.

DC United just missed out on a playoff spot last campaign, finishing one point behind seventh place in the Eastern Conference, and so they will be looking to go a step further this year and reach the post-season tournament, with a strong start likely to aid them in that quest.

Losada's side's away form last year was also something that let them down, returning 21 more points on their own patch than they did so on their travels, but they can start the turnaround of that stat this weekend in their first away match of the new season.

FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer form:
  • L

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • W



Team News

DC United forward Michael Estrada (7) lies on the field in the first half on February 26, 2022© Reuters

Cincinnati midfielder Junior Moreno arrived at the club from DC United last week, and he is expected to start against his former side this weekend, having been one of the bright sparks for Cincinnati in their defeat last week.

Right-back Ray Gaddis was handed his full debut for the Orange and Blues against Austin, and the 32-year-old is likely to start in the hosts' defensive four.

Nick Markanich and Brandon Vazquez lead the line for Noonan's side last week, but Dominique Badji could come into the starting 11 for this encounter, potentially replacing Markanich.

Ecuador international Estrada joined DC United on loan from Mexican outfit Toluca and he began his career with the club in the best possible way with a brace last week, and he is expected to lead the line again.

The visitors could set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, with Brad Smith and Julian Gressel providing some width from their wing-back roles, while Griffin Yow and Edison Flores supporting the lone striker.

FC Cincinnati possible starting lineup:
Kann; Matarrita, Blackett, Cameron, Gaddis; Cruz, Moreno, Kubo; Acosta; Badji, Vazquez

DC United possible starting lineup:
Hamid; Birnbaum, Hines-Ike, Najar; Smith, Skundrich, Nyeman, Gressel; Flores, Yow; Estrada


SM words green background

We say: FC Cincinnati 1-3 DC United

Cincinnati did create chances against Austin which is why they could cause Saturday's visitors a few problems and get themselves on the scoresheet in front of their home crowd.

However, DC United will be full of confidence from their victory last week and will look to use Cincinnati's poor defensive record to their advantage, suggesting that they could score another trio of goals.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for DC United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for DC United.


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Game History

How you voted: Cincinnati vs DC United

FC Cincinnati
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
83.3%
6
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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