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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 16, 2021 at 9pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Inter Miami

Cincinnati
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Martin Barreal (59'), Hagglund (83')
Matarrita (14'), Harris (40'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (41'), Cruz (66'), Cameron (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shea (7'), Higuain (38', 85')
Guediri (23'), Gregore (88'), Gonzalez Pirez (88')

Preview: FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

FC Cincinnati will hope that a change of venues can turn their fortunes around as they host Inter Miami on Sunday at their brand new TQL Stadium.

After earning a draw in their opening game, Cincinnati have dropped two in a row, while Miami could not find an answer against Montreal, losing 2-0.


Match preview

FC Cincinnati head coach Jaap Stam during the second half against the Atlanta United FC at ESPN Wide World of Sports in July 2020© Reuters

After such a bright opening to the season, things have gone south in a hurry for Jaap Stam and his FC Cincinnati team.

The Dutch coach has seen his side give up plenty of quality scoring opportunities in their opening three games, allowing 28 shots on target and conceding a league-high 10 goals.

Two goals in the first 12 minutes of their regular season is all they have been able to muster offensively so far, going scoreless in their last two fixtures and failing to register a single shot on goal against Orlando.

They were one of the most active clubs over the 2020 off-season and they have remained very busy, signing veteran goalkeeper Kenneth Vermeer and bringing in a former two-time MLS All-Star at centre-back, Geoff Cameron.

All their efforts to improve on paper have not translated into results on the pitch, but perhaps the presence of 6,000 screaming fans in a new venue can spark this team, who won only five games at Nippert Stadium.

Miami had a busy off-season themselves. bringing in several high-profile veteran players.

However, like Cincinnati, they have not had much success on the field in the early stages of this season.

Phil Neville will not be pleased with his team's effort on Wednesday as they were completely shut down by a well-organized Montreal squad that allowed only one shot on target.

Scoring opportunities have been few and far between for The Herons so far, as they have had less than 50% of the possession in four of their five matches.

They have struggled to gain possession because they have not put enough pressure on their opponents in the middle of the pitch, allowing over five passes to the opposition per possession, the most of any team in the league.

The Herons will hope that this upcoming two-game road trip can help them regain their confidence, as they face two of the worst teams in MLS in Cincinnati and Chicago.

FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • L

Inter Miami Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Gonzalo Higuain in action for Inter Miami in October 2020© Reuters

Cincinnati will be without defender Maikel van der Werff, who is suffering from a groin injury, while Franko Kovacevic has a muscle injury.

The club is still trying to work out the visa situation for Gustavo Vallecilla, who is on loan from the Ecuadorian club Aucas.

Cincy will look to Geoff Cameron to plug the holes of their very leaky defence that have conceded 111 goals since entering Major League Soccer in 2019.

After scoring in his first two games of the regular season, Gonzalo Higuain has been quiet for Miami, while goalkeeper John McCarthy conceded twice despite facing only four shots against Montreal.

Centre-back Leandro Gonzalez had a tough outing on Wednesday as his giveaway led to a second Montreal goal, which put his side behind the eight-ball for the rest of the match.

FC Cincinnati possible starting lineup:
Vermeer; Matarrita, Cameron, Hagglund, Gyau; Stanko, Kubo, Mokotjo, Barreal, Brenner; Locadia

Inter Miami possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Ulloa, Shawcross, Leerdam, Shea; da Silva, Matuidi; Morgan, Chapman, Pizarro; Higuain


SM words green background

We say: FC Cincinnati 1-3 Inter Miami

Cincy need more than a new stadium to turn their season around, as they have struggled in virtually every statistical category since joining the league.

Miami are struggling as well, but they have been a much more cohesive unit than Cincinnati, who look disorganized and out of sorts to this point of the season.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami

FC Cincinnati
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Inter Miami
62.5%
16
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Goalkeeper, Jasper Cillessen of Netherlands looks on during the International Friendly match between Netherlands and Ghana at De Kuip on May 31, 2014
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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