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FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Vitesse

FC Twente
1 - 2
Vitesse

Danilo (20' pen.)
Dumic (4'), Roemeratoe (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tannane (44' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Broja (88')

Preview: FC Twente vs. Vitesse - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In search of a first league victory in six matches, FC Twente welcome Vitesse to the Grolsch Veste Stadium on Saturday.

Meanwhile, the visitors have not tasted defeat in any of their last four league outings, picking up 10 points from a possible 12 in that time.


Match preview

Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Twente were involved in a share of the spoils for the seventh time since the turn of the year as they were held to a 0-0 draw at the Abe Lenstra Stadion by Heerenveen a fortnight ago.

In a game where clear-cut openings were at a premium, it was the visitors who came closest to claiming all three points as Jesse Bosch and Luciano Narsingh both spurned gilt-edged chances.

That stalemate was the fourth in five games for Ron Jans's men, so it is no surprise that they are beginning to lose ground on the teams around them.

The Tukkers remain eighth in the Eredivisie table, but they are only three points ahead of 11th-placed Fortuna Sittard.

Saturday's hosts came out on top in February's reverse fixture, and completing a league double over their visitors would be a good start to getting their season back on track.

Vitesse's four-game winning run in all competitions was brought to an end by Willem II two Sundays ago in a 0-0 draw at the GelreDome.

Thomas Letsch's men were in the ascendancy for the majority of the match, but they failed to convert that dominance into anything significant.

Those dropped points have seen Vitas lose ground on AZ Alkmaar in the race to finish as runners-up behind runaway leaders Ajax.

Nonetheless, Saturday's visitors will back themselves to return to winning ways at a ground where they have lost only one of their last five games.

FC Twente Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Vitesse Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Vitesse form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Julio Pleguezuelo and Vaclav Cerny picked up season-ending knee injuries in February, and are unavailable for this one.

Mees Hilgers has had just 15 minutes of playing time with the senior team so far, and he is ruled out for the game due to a hip injury.

Max Bruns is Twente's final absentee for the match as the 18-year-old Dutch midfielder continues to battle with a calf problem.

For the second game running, Vitesse have a clean bill of health as the players have returned from the international break unscathed.

However, Thomas Letsch could make some alterations to his starting XI for the clash in a bid to give his returning players a breather.

FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Dumic, Staring, Pierie, Ebuehi; Zerrouki, Roemeratoe, Bosch; Menig, Danilo, Van Leeuwen

Vitesse possible starting lineup:
Pasveer; Wittek, Rasmussen, Bazoer, Doekhi, Dasa; Tannane, Bero, Bruns; Broja, Darfalou


SM words green background

We say: FC Twente 1-1 Vitesse

While Twente have not necessarily been in good form recently, they have a found a way to avoid defeat on a number of occasions, and we fancy them to come away from this one with a point to their name.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: FC Twente vs Vitesse

FC Twente
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Vitesse
52.6%
19
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3Ajax1182125111426
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5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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