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[monks data]
Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Corinthians

Flamengo
1 - 0
Corinthians

Henrique (90+4')
Gabriel (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (23'), Victor (40')

Preview: Flamengo vs. Corinthians - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Flamengo will look to stretch their unbeaten run to seven league games on Thursday, when they welcome Corinthians to the Maracana.

An eye-catching run of form in recent months has seen the Rubro-Negro climb to second spot in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table, while their hosts sit in fifth after an impressive run of their own.


Match preview

Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their third goal with Filipe Luis and teammates on August 1, 2021© Reuters

After a mixed start, Flamengo have been one of the standout teams in the Brazilian top flight in the second half of the season, climbing into the top two thanks to an eye-catching run of results.

Since mid-August, the Rubro-Negro have won 10 of their 18 league outings, collecting 36 points in the process, and they have now gone six games without a loss and head into Thursday on the back of consecutive wins.

Renato Gaucho's side bounced back from a draw with strugglers Chapecoense by convincingly beating Bahia 3-0, before they thrashed Sao Paulo 4-0 away from home on Sunday, with Michael hitting a brace after Gabriel Barbosa and Bruno Henrique had put them two goals ahead inside five minutes.

With seven league games left to play, the defending champions trail league leaders Atletico Mineiro by seven points, meaning that, while they are firm underdogs for the title, they still have plenty of time to apply pressure.

To do that, the Rubro-Negro will have to continue their fine form until the end of the campaign, starting with what would be a third straight league win on Thursday.

Corinthians' Willian pictured on October 6, 2021© Reuters

They welcome another of the league's form teams as Corinthians arrive with three wins from their last four games in the Brazilian top flight.

After a relatively strong and consistent season, the visitors have found another gear in recent weeks, having firstly recorded 1-0 wins over Chapecoense and Fortaleza to leapfrog the latter in the table.

Following a defeat to Atletico Mineiro, the Timao bounced back last time out, defeating Cuiaba 3-2 in a dramatic clash thanks to goals from Giuliano, Renato Augusto and Roger Guedes.

As a result of their impressive form, Sylvinho's men have climbed into the top six, putting them in a good position to earn entry into Copa Libertadores qualification next season, while they will now turn their focus upwards, as they will earn automatic progression to the group stage if they can bridge a two-point gap and break into the top four.

Flamengo Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Corinthians Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their first goal on June 13, 2021© Reuters

Flamengo have largely kept a relatively unchanged side throughout the recent run, and we should not expect too many alterations to the XI on Thursday.

Key attacker Giorgian De Arrascaeta remains out through injury, but winger Michael has stepped up in style, hitting a brace last time out and complementing the front two of Gabriel Barbosa and Bruno Henrique.

Andreas Pereira and Willian Arao form an impressive midfield pairing, while experienced Brazil defender David Luiz will handle business at the back following his switch from Arsenal.

Luiz's former Arsenal and Chelsea teammate Willian remains out of action for the visitors, leaving Roger Guedes and Gabriel Pereira to operate on the flanks.

Skillful midfielder Giuliano offers plenty of threat, and he will continue to support lone striker Jo.

Flamengo possible starting lineup:
Souza; Matheuzinho, Caio, Luiz, Rene; Ribeiro, Arao, Pereira, Michael; Henrique, Barbosa

Corinthians possible starting lineup:
Cassio; Fagner, Gil, Victor, Piton; Pereira, Giuliano, Gabriel, Augusto, Guedes; Jo


SM words green background

We say: Flamengo 2-1 Corinthians

Despite Corinthians finding a winning streak of their own, we simply cannot look past Flamengo in any game they play in at the minute.

The hosts are playing at the peak of their powers, and they know there is no room for error if they are to keep their slim title hopes alive.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 11.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Flamengo vs Corinthians

Flamengo
84.0%
Draw
12.0%
Corinthians
4.0%
25
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Atletico Mineiro's Eduardo Sasha celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on August 23, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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