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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Fleetwood Town

Accrington
5 - 1
Fleetwood

Hamilton (29', 90'), Bishop (46', 78'), Coyle (72')
Hamilton (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Biggins (57')
Hayes (28'), Lane (74')
Batty (23')

Preview: Accrington Stanley vs. Fleetwood Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fleetwood Town are looking to move to within a point of 20th-placed Morecambe on Saturday, when they make a short trip across the North West to Accrington Stanley.

The home side are currently sitting 14th in League One and ended their five-game winless run in the division last weekend to push them closer towards midtable.


Match preview

Accrington Stanley manager John Coleman pictured in May 2021© Reuters

John Coleman's side travelled to face Lincoln one week ago and Colby Bishop managed to make one of Accrington's five shots on target count when he finished in the 55th minute, sealing a 1-0 win for the 'Owd Reds.

However, Accrington enter this weekend's fixture on the back of disappointment in the EFL Trophy as they dropped out of the competition losing 5-4 on penalties against Wigan Athletic.

Accrington have the joint second worst defensive record in League One this season, conceding 36 goals in 19 matches having taken some heavy beatings, including six outings when they have conceded at least three goals.

Fleetwood will be looking to use that to their advantage on Saturday, as they have scored more goals than any other team in the bottom half of League One.

Stephen Crainey, who was promoted to senior head coach in November, has been handed the responsibility of turning Fleetwood's fortunes around, with the Cod Army winless in 10 games across all competitions.

Fleetwood could not progress in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday evening, falling to a 1-0 defeat against Bolton after fielding a young side at the University of Bolton Stadium.

Crainey's side did manage to pick up a point in League One last weekend, with Callum Johnson scoring an 84th-minute equaliser against Wimbledon and that game ended in a 2-2 draw.

Their goalscoring form does not seem to be the problem for Fleetwood, having scored as many goals as fifth-placed Sunderland, but on many occasions they have missed out on points by a fine margin of one goal.

These two sides met just under one month ago in the EFL Trophy group stages and Accrington came out on top with a convincing 4-1 victory, thanks to goals from Harry Pell, Ethan Hamilton, Tommy Leigh and Michael Nottingham.

Accrington Stanley League One form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Accrington Stanley form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Fleetwood Town League One form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Fleetwood Town form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Pell is Accrington's top goalscorer with five so far this season and Bishop would have been pleased to score his first goal since the beginning of October last weekend, and the attacking duo are both expected to start on Saturday.

After a positive result against Lincoln, Coleman may opt for the same starting 11, which would see Liam Coyle and Seamus Conneely continue as the midfield pair in the middle of the pitch.

Fleetwood forward Joe Garner was forced off after only 20 minutes against Oxford just over a week ago and he has not featured in the two games since then, potentially missing out again this weekend due to the injury.

Gerard Garner is likely to be the biggest goal threat, having netted his sixth of the campaign against Wimbledon, but left-back Danny Andrew has also enjoyed a high-scoring season having also netted six times for Fleetwood.

The home side will have to be wary of the visitors' full-backs as Andrew has six goals to his name this year and to add to that, right-back Johnson scored his third last weekend.

Accrington Stanley possible starting lineup:
Savin; Rodgers, Nottingham, Sykes, Sherring; McConville, Coyle, Conneely, Hamilton; Pell; Bishop

Fleetwood Town possible starting lineup:
Cairns; Andrew, Holgate, Clarke, Johnson; Matete, Batty, Lane; Morton, Garner, Morris


SM words green background

We say: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood are looking to turn their form around and they will be looking to take advantage of Accrington's poor form also to gain another point in League One on Saturday.

Accrington will want to prevent Fleetwood's attack from flourishing having conceded 11 goals in their last four league outings, which may mean a low-scoring game will be played out at the Wham Stadium.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:471688:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9442:
Written by
Sammy Wynne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Accrington vs Fleetwood

Accrington Stanley
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
7
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