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Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Corinthians

Fluminense
1 - 1
Corinthians

Cazares (70')
Claro (35'), Barcelos (65'), Andre (83')
Hernandez (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jo (37' pen.)
Araos (45+2')

Preview: Fluminense vs. Corinthians - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fluminense take on Corinthians in the Brasileiro Serie A on Sunday.

Neither side have enjoyed the greatest start to the season in its early stages, with Fluminense one point and two positions above their forthcoming opponents in ninth place.


Match preview

Fluminense manager Roger Machado on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Having finished fifth last season, which was their highest placing since last winning Serie A in 2012, following five consecutive bottom-half finishes beforehand, optimism was building among Fluminense fans that they could finally compete with their city rivals Flamengo this season.

The two Rio de Janeiro-based clubs, who currently share ownership of the famous Maracana stadium, have won five of the last 12 Brazilian titles between them, with Flamengo currently defending champions having secured back-to-back titles.

With former Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro boss Roger Machado on board since February, Time de Guerreiros certainly have plenty of firepower in attacking areas, with the likes of Fred, Abel Hernandez and Ganso all in their squad.

So far, though, Machado appears to be building from the back, with three clean sheets in their first six matches testament to a stable defence. However, Fluminense only registered three shots in a 1-0 defeat away to Atletico Goianiense on Wednesday, so may need to improve creatively to beat Corinthians on Sunday.

Corinthians' Jo celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on May 27, 2021© Reuters

Corinthians boast a similar record to their forthcoming opponents in the early stages of this season, having scored five and conceded five goals to sit a point behind them in the table.

The seven-time Brazilian champions, who last won the title in 2017, appointed former Arsenal and Barcelona defender Sylvinho as manager last month, with the 47-year-old only managing to win two of his eight games in charge in all competitions so far.

There were certainly signs of improvement during the 2-1 win against Sport Recife last time out, though, with former Manchester City striker Jo doubling his side's lead after half time before a late consolation goal from the visitors.

With only three of their 16 shots testing the opposition goalkeeper, though, Sylvinho will be urging his side to work the ball into better positions, with Jo certainly capable of finishing moves off should his teammates supply him on a more regular basis.

Fluminense Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Fluminense form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Corinthians Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

Corinthians form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Fluminense's Fred celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 12, 2021© Reuters

Fluminense are likely to be without Hudson for the rest of the season after the midfielder sustained an ACL injury.

Uruguay winger Hernandez could come onto the right flank in place of Kayky as Machado searches for greater goal threat within his ranks.

Corinthians, meanwhile, have a busy treatment table, which is certainly not helping Sylvinho in his early weeks in charge of the club.

Gustavo Mantuan, Danilo Avelar and Ruan Oliveira are all recovering from ACL injuries themselves, and could return to training in the next week or two.

Luan, Leo Natel and Caique Franca are unlikely to be available for another month due to thigh, shoulder and hernia issues respectively, but Romulo Otero's quarantine period due to COVID-19 should end in time for Corinthians' derby match against Sao Paulo on Wednesday.

Fluminense possible starting lineup:
Marcos; Calegari, Nino, Claro, Danilo; Yago, Martinelli; Hernandez, Nene, Teixeira; Fred

Corinthians possible starting lineup:
Cassio; Fagner, Joao Victor, Gil, Fabio Santos; Mosquito, Gabriel, Cantillo; Vitinho, Jo, Vital


SM words green background

We say: Fluminense 1-0 Corinthians

With neither side even averaging one goal for or against so far, it is hard to envisage many goals in this match.

Fluminense could benefit from Corinthians having one eye on their match against city rivals Sao Paulo three days later.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 39.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.84%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-0 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fluminense vs Corinthians

Fluminense
69.6%
Draw
30.4%
Corinthians
0.0%
23
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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