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Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
Castelao

Fortaleza
0 - 3
Atletico GO


Pablo Vojvoda (64'), Ederson (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Felipe (18' og.), Baralhas (76'), Montenegro (90+5')
Paulo (33'), Miguel (56'), Maranhao (70'), Igor (90+3')

Preview: Fortaleza vs. Atletico Goianiense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fortaleza are looking to secure a top-four finish in the Brasileiro this season, currently occupying third spot, and their next challenge comes against Atletico Goianiense on Saturday at the Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo.

The visitors are winless in their last five games, but have also only lost once in their last nine domestic meetings, while Fortaleza are aiming for back-to-back victories for the first time in the league since the end of July.


Match preview

Fortaleza's Romarinho celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 18, 2021© Reuters

Fortaleza's last Brasileiro match created 13 shots on target between the two teams, but it was a single headed effort from centre-back Marcelo Conceicao which sealed a 1-0 win for Juan Pablo Vojvoda's side.

That result was a much-needed three points for Fortaleza, as prior to their game against Sport Recife, they had not won a league fixture in six attempts, including a run of three straight defeats before last weekend.

Defensively, Vojvoda's side have been better at home than they have been on their travels, conceding more than double the amount of goals away than they have on home turf, so they will be pleased to be back in familiar surroundings on Saturday.

Fortaleza must be wary of Flamengo and Red Bull Bragantino sitting just behind them in the Brasileiro, especially as Flamengo are only one point behind Fortaleza with two games in hand on the third-placed outfit.

There is still a significant amount of football to be played between now and the end of the season, but Fortaleza will not want to end up chasing teams down in the latter stages of the campaign, meaning every point becomes more valuable from here on in.

Atletico GO could be aiming for Copa Libertadores qualification places, but their main priority at this moment is to secure a more comfortable position in the Copa Sudamericana positions, currently just inside the top 12 on goal difference.

Eduardo Barroca will feel that his side have drawn too many matches in recent times, as - if they had turned some of those points into three points - then their position in the table would be more favourable.

Goianiense tend to be involved in low-scoring draws, which was demonstrated in their last outing when they played out a 0-0 draw at home to Cuiaba.

They have only scored 17 goals in their 21 league matches this season, making them the lowest scorers out of the teams not in the relegation places, but their record of keeping nine clean sheets so far is a major factor to their league position.

Atletico GO's away form is slightly better than their record at home, meaning that they will be confident of picking up three points on Saturday, which would be viewed as a brilliant result for Barroca's side considering Fortaleza's Brasileiro position.

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Atletico Goianiense Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

Fortaleza left-midfielder Lucas Crispim will be unavailable for selection on Saturday after picking up his third yellow card in the Brasileiro this season, and he will have to serve his one-match suspension this weekend.

VojVoda will set his team up with a back three, which is likely to include Titi, Conceicao and Tinga, with Yago Pikachu and Bruno Melo operating as wing-backs for the home side.

Top goalscorer for Fortaleza this season, Robson, has not managed to find the back of the net since the beginning of August, but he will retain his place in the starting lineup and get another opportunity to end his goal drought.

Atletico GO defensive midfielder Marlon Freitas has been absent from the matchday squad since August 2, and he will continue to be sidelined as he recovers from a foot injury.

Barroca opted for a more attacking lineup last time out by including Joao Paulo in the midfield to be the creative spark Atletico GO need, and despite not managing to get on the scoresheet, the midfield three received high ratings last time out.

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Alves; Titi, Conceicao, Tinga; Melo, Felipe, Ederson, Pikachu; Lima; Romarinho, Robson

Atletico Goianiense possible starting lineup:
Miguel; Igor, Eder, Wanderson, Dudu; Baralhas, Moraes, Paulo; Pereira, Roberto, Luis


SM words green background

We say: Fortaleza 1-0 Atletico Goianiense

Atletico GO are not usually involved in high-scoring encounters, and Saturday's clash is likely to be no different, but Fortaleza are expected to come out on top having more recent wins under their belt.

Fortaleza are strong at home and they should be confident of securing an important three points, with the help of keeping a clean sheet against a side which has only scored three times in their last five matches.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Atletico GO

Fortaleza
57.1%
Draw
35.7%
Atletico Goianiense
7.1%
14
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Tables header RHS
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1Botafogo33208552262668
2PalmeirasPalmeiras33197754272764
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo33178851371459
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo331761047341357
7Cruzeiro33138123835347
8Bahia33137134342146
9Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
10Atletico Mineiro321012104246-442
11Corinthians331011123941-241
12Gremio33116163842-439
13Vitoria33115173848-1038
14Fluminense33107162836-837
15CriciumaCriciuma33910143948-937
16JuventudeJuventude33910144052-1237
17BragantinoBragantino33812133440-636
18Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3297163441-734
19Cuiaba33611162541-1629
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3368192450-2626


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