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Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 31, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Castelao
Cuiaba

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Cuiaba


Torres (77'), Felipe (90+3')
FT

Clayson (16'), Jenison (68'), Yuri (73'), Pepe (90+2'), Elias (90+5')

Preview: Fortaleza vs. Cuiaba - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fortaleza will hope to get themselves back into the title race in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A on Monday when they host Cuiaba from Arena Castelao.

Leao do Pici drew Juventude 1-1 last Saturday and got some help from Cuiaba, who defeated Palmeiras 2-0.


Match preview

Fortaleza's Romarinho celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 18, 2021© Reuters

One of the up and coming sides in the Brazilian top flight are proving that they could be in Serie A for a long time to come.

Sitting in a tie for second with Palmeiras, Fortaleza have only suffered two defeats in their last 11 league fixtures after earning promotion into the top flight back in 2018.

This team have risen quickly up the ranks with a balanced attack, scoring 27 goals, the second-most among clubs in the Brasileiro Serie A this year.

They come into this encounter with an impressive defensive record at home, allowing only four goals all season in league play, maintaining three clean sheets in their last four fixtures.

It is still early, but Juan Pablo Vojvoda has to be impressed with how his side have performed, especially when you consider the fact that this club only avoided relegation a season ago on goal difference, it is pretty incredible to see them in the hunt to win the title.

While scoring first is always ideal, Fortaleza have had their struggles lately when drawing first blood, failing to win their three league fixtures this month in which they scored the opening goal.

Cuiaba's Rafael Gava celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates June 23, 2021© Reuters

Last weekend Cuiaba pulled off perhaps their most memorable victory in their brief time in Serie A, beating the mighty Palmeiras 2-0.

After only two minutes, they took the lead and then withstood a barrage of pressure, conceding 31 shots and having only 34% possession, but they still came away with three points, adding a goal in injury time.

While they may not have looked like the better team, Jorginho has to be happy with how well his group have played together in some difficult environments, especially away from home, where they are unbeaten in their last seven league contests.

Dourado are certainly not dominating their opponents, but they have done a great job of maintaining their composure defensively against some of the more potent sides in the league, allowing only one shot on target last month against the highest-scoring team in the league at the moment, Bragantino.

They are currently holding a four-point cushion above the relegation line, and they know that they have to keep their momentum going as one slip-up can change everything.

Their defensive shape has been most impressive away from home, where they have maintained four clean sheets this year.

Fortaleza Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Fortaleza form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Cuiaba Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Fortaleza keeper Felipe Alves has five clean sheets in the Serie A this year, putting him three back of Everson of Atletico Mineiro for the league lead.

Four new players were in the starting 11 against Sao Paulo in the Copa do Brasil from their draw with Juventude as Titi replaced Marcelo Benevenuto in central defence, Yago Pikachu started in place of Bruno Melo, Matheus Vargas played as an attacking midfielder with David moving up to play striker, while Romarinho and Robson began the game on the bench with Wellington Paulista starting upfront.

Clayson scored the winning goal for Cuiaba in their upset victory last Sunday, his second of the year, while Uillian Correia scored his first of the season.

Walter stopped all seven shots that he faced in their previous game and has two clean sheets in his last four matches, while Elton still leads the team in goals with five, just two ahead on Jenison and three more than Pepe.

Fortaleza possible starting lineup:
Alves; Jussa, Benevenuto, Tinga; Melo, Henrique, Ederson, Crispim; David; Osvaldo, Paulista

Cuiaba possible starting lineup:
Walter; Uendel, Paulao, Marllon, Ramon; Clayson, Pepe, Auremir, Camilo; Cafu, Elton


SM words green background

We say: Fortaleza 2-1 Cuiaba

Cuiaba shocked everyone with their victory last weekend in the fortress known as Allianz Parque, no less, but it could be too much for them to pull off another upset so soon, especially against a team who are as sound defensively as Fortaleza, who have yet to lose at home.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Cuiaba

Fortaleza
74.1%
Draw
22.2%
Cuiaba
3.7%
27
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Juventude's Elton celebrates with teammates after the match on June 27, 2021
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Saturday's Brasileiro predictions including Juventude vs. Fortaleza
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo32177851371458
5InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro32128123634244
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro311011104246-441
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3267192450-2625


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