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Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Apr 3, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Sittard
0 - 2
Heracles


Cox (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Quagliata (58'), Bakis (66')

Preview: Fortuna Sittard vs. Heracles - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fortuna Sittard and Heracles face off at the Fortuna-Sittard Stadion on Sunday with both teams looking to bounce back from respective defeats last time out.

Heracles also set out to complete a league double over Sittard off the back of a 3-1 victory in November's reverse fixture at the Erve Asito.


Match preview

Fortuna were left red-faced at the Philips Stadion on March 20 following a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of title hopefuls PSV Eindhoven.

Sjors Ultee's found themselves with a mountain to climb at half time thanks to first-half strikes from Philipp Max, Ritsu Doan and Eran Zahavi before Bruma and Carlos Vinicius added more gloss to the scoreline in the second period.

The Fortunezen are languishing in the relegation zone as it stands, albeit only one point away from safety with a game in hand on Willem II.

A meagre return of just one win and one draw from their last six games against this weekend's opponents means that Sittard have it all to do judging by recent results.

Sunday's hosts have picked up 14 of 22 points this term in front of their fans, and home results from here on out could have a major say in their fight for survival.

Heracles fell to a fourth consecutive defeat on the road courtesy of a 2-0 loss to Heerenveen at the Abe Lenstra Stadion a fortnight ago.

Off the back of a relatively uneventful first 45 minutes, second-half goals from Amin Sarr and Nick Bakker were enough to put Frank Wormuth's men to the sword.

The Heraclieden have slipped to 13th place in the Eredivisie table but still possess a healthy five-point gap over the bottom three with seven games left.

Currently with the worst away record in the entire division, Sunday's visitors are yet to come out on top on the road this term and now is as good a time as any to break that duck.

Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Heracles form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Heracles' Kaj Sierhuis and Ismail Azzaoui are yet to recuperate from knee injuries and will both sit this weekend's game out.

Janis Blaswich also misses out through a muscle injury, and the 30-year-old is joined on the sidelines by Mateo Les.

Roel Janssen is Fortuna's only guaranteed absentee for this one as the midfielder continues to nurse a muscle problem.

Zian Flemming has scored four goals in his last five home appearances for Sittard, making the Dutchman one to look out for.

Arianit Ferati made his return to action with a 25-minute cameo against PSV last time out, and the German will be pushing for a start.

Fortuna Sittard possible starting lineup:
Van Osch; Pinto, Lonwijk, Siovas, Tirpan; Rienstra, Duarte, Samaris; Seuntjens, Flemming; Semedo

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Bucker; Roosken, Knoester, Rente, Fadiga; Basacikoglu, De la Torre, Kioumourtzoglou, Laursen; Bakis, Ouahim


SM words green background

We say: Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Heracles

Both teams have been abysmal in recent weeks, so there is little to choose between them heading into this weekend's meeting. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sittard vs Heracles

Fortuna Sittard
36.8%
Draw
42.1%
Heracles
21.1%
19
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7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
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15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
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