Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.75% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Elfsborg win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.