Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KAMAZ win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.82% and a win for Zhenys had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a KAMAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%) , while for a Zhenys win it was 0-1 (7.14%).