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[monks data]
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Fulham logo

Stoke
2 - 3
Fulham

Wright-Phillips (1'), Baker (58')
Brown (39'), Harwood-Bellis (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muniz (2'), Carvalho (33'), Reid (72')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Fulham - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leaders Fulham make the trip to the bet365 Stadium to face Stoke City looking to continue their remarkable scoring record in the Championship.

While the Cottagers hold a five-point lead at the top of the standings, Stoke are four points adrift of the playoffs with a game in hand.


Match preview

Fulham's Aleksandar Mitrovic celebrates their first goal, an own goal scored by Birmingham City's Marc Roberts on January 18, 2022© Reuters

On the back of one win in six matches, which came by a 1-0 scoreline after extra time in the FA Cup, describing Fulham's attack as goal-shy would have been an understatement.

The turnaround in form has barely been believable, Marco Silva's team netting 19 times in three Championship fixtures against Reading, Bristol City and Birmingham City.

The Portuguese will be disappointed with four strikes being shipped in the latter of those fixtures, but it is arguably irrelevant given the output of the front four.

Perhaps the most impressive factor of their 6-2 win over Blues was neither Harry Wilson or Aleksandar Mitrovic got on the scoresheet, youngster Fabio Carvalho instead taking centre stage with a double.

While Silva will insist that there is a long way to go, Fulham are now playing with a swagger which does not look like disappearing anytime soon, something which will naturally concern an inconsistent Stoke side.

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill after the match on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Michael O'Neill has been left frustrated with his team's results this season, a run of four defeats in six matches seeing Stoke move outside of the playoffs.

However, the Potters were deserved 2-0 winners at Hull City last weekend, their goals coming from Jacob Brown and a rejuvenated Tom Ince.

With an array of fresh faces moving to the bet365 Stadium, there is now a different feel to this squad, and each of the new arrivals will want to impress in a game of this magnitude.

Stoke have gone 11 matches without conceding more than two goals in a match, a streak which will surely come under threat on Saturday.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Fulham Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Fulham form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Fulham manager Marco Silva on January 18, 2022© Reuters

Having sprung a number of surprises with his team selection last week, O'Neill may stick with the Stoke XI which started against Hull.

That is dependent on Josh Tymon shaking off a knock, while the likes of Ben Wilmot, Jordan Thompson and Mario Vrancic are pushing for a return to the substitutes' bench.

D'Margio Wright-Phillips appears likely to keep his place in attack ahead of Tyrese Campbell and Steven Fletcher.

Barring any unforeseen selection issues, Silva is expected to name the same Fulham starting lineup from the Birmingham game.

A number of players were handed a rest during the closing stages, while the backline should remain the same despite their under-par performances over the past week.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Harwood-Bellis, Jagielka, Chester; Smith, Ince, Allen, Clucas, Tymon; Brown, Wright-Phillips

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Rodak; Odoi, Adarabioyo, Ream, Robinson; Cairney, Reed; Wilson, Carvalho, Kebano; Mitrovic


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 0-2 Fulham

Regardless of who they are playing, it is simply not realistic to back against Fulham in second-tier action right now. While we feel that Stoke will put up a stronger fight than Fulham's previous opponents, we still expect another three points for the West Londoners.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Fulham

Stoke City
20.0%
Draw
15.6%
Fulham
64.4%
45
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England Under-21's Taylor Harwood-Bellis pictured during the warm up on November 11, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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