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Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 9, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Sporting Lisbon

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Fujimoto (36')
Silva (3'), Lino (73'), Pedrinho (87'), Denis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coates (83', 90+1')
Nunes (31')

Preview: Gil Vicente vs. Sporting Lisbon - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sporting Lisbon travel to Gil Vicente on Tuesday evening, hoping to strengthen their position at the top of the Primeira Liga table.

They will be looking to record a fourth consecutive win in the league, while the hosts will have renewed confidence after winning last time out, a result which put an end to a run of four consecutive Primeira Liga losses.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon manager Ruben Amorim pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Gil Vicente come into this game with a slight confidence boost, having won their last league match, beating Boavista 2-1 away from home on Friday.

Samuel Lino gave Os Gilistas an early lead from the penalty spot, but Gil Vicente right-back Paulinho turned the ball into his own net on the stroke of half time, levelling the match.

The game looked set to finish 1-1, until Yves Baraye popped up with an 85th-minute goal to secure all three points for his side.

That goal sealed Gil Vicente's fourth win of the season in the Primeira Liga, seeing them leapfrog Boavista, moving out of the relegation zone and up to 13th place.

However, they do sit just two points above the automatic relegation places, meaning that one bad result could see them get dragged right back down into the bottom three, given how tight the top flight's bottom half is.

They face arguably their toughest test to date in this clash though, hosting a Sporting Lisbon team who are yet to lose in league action this campaign.

Sporting Lisbon players celebrate winning the Taca da Liga with the trophy on January 23, 2021© Reuters

They come into this game hoping to record a fourth consecutive league win, after beating Maritimo last time out.

A Pedro Goncalves brace secured a 14th Primeira Liga win of the season for the Leoes, taking their points tally to 45 out of a possible 51 at this stage.

Before that result, Matheus Nunes popped up with an injury-time winner to secure a crucial win over rivals Benfica, after the game looked set to finish goalless. That marked a huge win for the side from Portugal's capital, as they took another big step towards the trophy.

In his second season managing in the top flight, 36-year-old Ruben Amorim has his side on track for a first Primeira Liga title since 2002, and their claim is growing stronger with each win.

Their strong standing at the top of the table is in no small part down to a solid defensive record, with no other side conceding fewer than their nine from 17 matches.

Meanwhile, their attack has also been worthy of the league title, with only second-placed Porto outscoring Os Verde e Brancos, who have recorded 36 goals so far.

Amorim will be eyeing this fixture up as a chance to record a 15th league win of the season, taking on a side who are battling at the bottom of the division, as the Leoes look to maintain their distance from the chasing pack.

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form: DLLLLW
Gil Vicente form (all competitions): WLLLLW

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form: WWDWWW
Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions): DWWWWW


Team News

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

The home side remain without young forward Miullen, who continues his spell on the sidelines with a knee injury.

He is joined by experienced defender Diogo Silva, who will also remain out of this match with an injury.

Ricardo Soares added to his side in the January transfer window, bringing in attacking midfielder Pedrinho, who arrived from Riga FC.

Winger Yves Baraye strengthened his claim for a starting spot with his goal in the last game, with the Senegalese forward expected to come into the lineup for this clash.

Pedro Goncalves is expected to feature prominently in Sporting Lisbon's attack once again, after he took his goal tally to 14 from 15 league games with a brace in their most recent win.

He will be joined by Paulinho, who arrived on deadline day as the side's record transfer from Braga.

Other than Luiz Phellype, who remains out with a long-term injury, Amorim should have a full squad to pick from, and he is likely to pick his best possible side, with every game being crucial in their bid to win the title.

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Denis; Paulinho, Nogueira, Fernandes, Talocha; Pedrinho, Afonso, Mineiro; Lourency, Lino, Fujimoto

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Inacio, Coates, Feddal; Porro, Nunes, Palhinha, Antunes; Goncalves, Paulinho, Santos


SM words green background

We say: Gil Vicente 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Despite the hosts hoping to turn a corner and save themselves from the drop, we can see them being outclassed in this encounter, by a Sporting side at the very top of their game.

The strong defensive unit of the league leaders should hold out against one of the league's weaker attacks, while the attacking threat posed by Amorim's men should be more than enough to secure another three points.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Sporting Lisbon

Gil Vicente
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
Sporting Lisbon
87.5%
96
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Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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