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Gillingham
League One | Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
1 - 0
Crewe

Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Gillingham vs. Crewe Alexandra - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gillingham will be looking to bounce back from Saturday's heavy home defeat to Oxford United when they continue their League One campaign against fellow strugglers Crewe Alexandra on Tuesday night.

The home side are currently 23rd in the table, three points behind 22nd-placed Crewe, with both teams desperately attempting to escape the relegation zone in the third tier.


Match preview

Gillingham's Max Ehmer receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Gillingham's struggles in League One continued on Saturday afternoon, as they suffered a 7-2 home loss to Oxford, which made it 14 matches without a victory in the third tier of English football.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a desperately disappointing few weeks for the club, who have lost nine of their last 11 in the league to drop down into 23rd position in the table.

The Gills, who finished 10th in League One last season, have only picked up 19 points from their 28 league games this term, which has left them three points behind 22nd-placed Crewe and 10 behind 20th-placed AFC Wimbledon, which is an indication of the size of their task.

Steve Lovell remains in charge of the club on a caretaker basis following Steve Evans's departure, and the 61-year-old admitted on Saturday that he is still unsure how long he will be in the position.

Gillingham suffered a 2-0 defeat when they travelled to Crewe earlier this season but recorded a 4-1 victory when the pair locked horns in the corresponding contest last term.

Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell on January 27, 2022© Reuters

Crewe, meanwhile, will enter the contest off the back of a 2-0 home defeat to Rotherham United, which allowed the visitors to move above Wigan Athletic to the top of the table.

The Railwaymen have only picked up one point from their last three matches in the league, which has left them in 22nd position in the table, seven points from the safety of 20th position.

Crewe, who have only won five league matches this term, will be aware of the importance of this game, as a victory could move them to within four points of safety, but a defeat would leave them in a very difficult position heading into their next match against Plymouth Argyle on February 8.

David Artell's side, who finished 12th in League One last term, have struggled on their travels this season, picking up just six points from 14 away games, but Gillingham have the worst home record in the division, collecting just 10 points from 14 matches in front of their own supporters.

Gillingham League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Crewe Alexandra League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Crewe Alexandra form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Crewe Alexandra's Christopher Long shoots at goal on January 12, 2022© Reuters

Daniel Phillips and John Akinde dropped out of the Gillingham XI for the clash with Oxford on Saturday, but the former is expected to return to the side for this contest.

The home side did not pick up any fresh injury concerns in their heavy defeat, but Ben Reeves remains unavailable for selection due to an ankle complaint.

Caretaker head coach Lovell could also make an alteration in the final third of the field for Tuesday's match, with Gerald Sithole pushing to be involved from the first whistle.

As for Crewe, Scott Robertson will be unavailable for selection due to the red card that he picked up against Rotherham, while Travis Johnson is expected to miss the contest through injury.

Johnson's injury, and Robertson's suspension, could open the door for John Lundstram to earn a starting role for Tuesday's relegation six-pointer.

Head coach Artell is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack, though, with Chris Porter and Chris Long set to keep their spots in the final third of the field.

Gillingham possible starting lineup:
Dahlberg; Jackson, Ehmer, Tucker, McKenzie; Phillips, Dempsey, O'Keefe; Sithole, Kelman, Lloyd-McGoldrick

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Richards; Mandron, O'Riordan, Sass-Davies, Offord, Lundstram; Lowery, Murphy, Finney; Long, Porter


SM words green background

We say: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

There is no downplaying the importance of this match for both sides, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Gillingham have struggled at home, but Crewe's away record is also really poor, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
49.1%
Draw
21.1%
Crewe Alexandra
29.8%
57
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