Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard draw the curtain on round 11 of the 2021-22 Eredivisie season with their meeting at De Adelaarshorst on Sunday.
The home side are aiming to pick up a fourth consecutive win across all competitions, while the visitors go in search of their first win victory on the road this term.
Match preview
Go Ahead Eagles recorded their first away win of the season on Sunday when they defeated Vitesse 2-1 at the GelreDome.
Kees Van Wonderen's men fell behind to Lois Openda's third-minute spot-kick, but goals from Inigo Cordoba and Luuk Brouwers turned the game on its head.
The pride of the IJssel Kowet have moved up to 10th place on the log and are currently separated from the top half only on goal difference.
A chance to continue this fine form awaits against an opposing side, who have come out on top in four of the last five meetings between the teams.
Fresh off the back of a first clean sheet since September in Wednesday's 2-0 KNVB-Beker triumph over Almere City, Sunday's hosts will be keen their visitors at bay this weekend.
Like Go Ahead Eagles, Fortuna Sittard have also secured safe passage into the next round of the KNVB-Beker courtesy of a 3-0 win over FC Oss on Wednesday.
Sjors Ultee's men played out a 1-1 draw against Willem in their last league outing and currently find themselves languishing in the bottom three, albeit with a game in hand.
The Fortunezen, who finished 11 points clear of danger last term, now look set to be involved in a relegation scrap if results do not improve in the coming weeks.
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Team News
Scottish midfielder Frank Ross is yet to feature for the home side this term due to a knee injury he picked up back in January.
Go Ahead Eagles will also be without the services of 20-year-old Turan Tuzlacik, who is ruled out through a leg injury.
Lisandro Semedo continues his spell on the sidelines with an ankle injury which has seen him miss all of Fortuna's league outings this season.
Tijjani Noslin found the back of the net within eight minutes of coming on versus Willem II, and he could be handed a place in the starting XI as a result.
Go Ahead Eagles possible starting lineup:
Hahn; Kuipers, Kramer, Idzen, Lucassen; Brouwers, Botos, Rommens; Cordoba, Oratmangoen, Cardona
Fortuna Sittard possible starting lineup:
Van Osch; Cox, Janssen, Angha, Tirpan; Rienstra, Tekie, Duarte; Seuntjens, Sambou, Hansson
We say: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard have some catching up to do following a poor start to the season, while the home team have enjoyed a solid start to the season. Neither team will be too satisfied with a draw, but we are backing a share of the spoils come the end of the 90 minutes.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
