Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.16% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.