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Guinea-Bissau national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio 24 de Setembro
Egypt national football team

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 1
Egypt


Piqueti (25'), Encada (31'), Cassama (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salah (69')
Elneny (50')

Preview: Guinea-Bissau vs. Egypt - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea-Bissau and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Egypt will be looking to get their Africa Cup of Nations campaign up and running when they lock horns with Guinea-Bissau at the Roumde Adjia Stadium on Saturday.

The Pharaohs are currently rock bottom in Group D after their opening-day defeat at the hands of Nigeria, and will take the game as a must-win as more dropped points will be a huge blow to their qualification hopes.


Match preview

Egypt's Mohamed El Shenawy and Ahmed Abou El Fotouh celebrate after the match on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Guinea-Bissau were denied a dream start to their Africa Cup of Nations campaign as they were held to a goalless draw by a resilient Sudan side last Tuesday.

The Djurtus came closest to breaking the deadlock in the 82nd minute when Pele stepped up to take his penalty, but 32-year-old goalkeeper Ali Abdullah Abou did brilliantly to deny the Monaco midfielder and force a share of the spoils.

This was a third consecutive goalless draw for Baciro Cande's men, who picked up three wins and lost three in six outings to finish runners-up to Senegal in Group I of the qualifiers.

Guinea-Bissau have now failed to taste victory or find the back of the net in any of their last five games in all competitions, dating back to a 4-2 victory over Sudan back in September.

While they will look to end this dry spell, next up is the daunting task of taking on an opposing side who are currently sixth in Africa and 45th in the world according to the latest FIFA World Rankings.

Egypt coach Carlos Queiroz reacts on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Egypt, on the other hand, fell to a slender 1-0 defeat at the hands of the Super Eagles of Nigeria when the sides squared off in the Group opener last Tuesday.

After Leicester City forward Kelechi Iheanacho broke the deadlock on the half-hour mark, the 2013 champions put on an impressive defensive performance to keep Mohamed Salah and the Egyptian attack at bay and see out the win.

The Pharaohs have now lost each of their last three games in all competitions — their longest losing streak since 2018, when they lost four straight games, including three in the group stages of the 2018 World Cup.

Egypt, who are the most decorated nation on the continent with a record seven title wins, risk an early exit from the tournament should they suffer defeat on Saturday as they are currently rock bottom in Group D.

Guinea-Bissau Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • D

Guinea-Bissau form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D

Egypt Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • L

Egypt form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Egypt attacker Mohamed Salah pictured in November 2021© Reuters

Egypt put out a strong side in the game against Nigeria on Tuesday and we expect Carlos Queiroz to name a similar XI, with Liverpool star Salah leading the attack alongside Omar Marmoush and Mostafa Mohamed.

Despite being kept at bay by the Super Eagles' defenders, the 29-year-old is arguably the most threatening frontman in the tournament and he will be one to keep an eye out for.

However, the Egyptian will take to the pitch without the services of Akram Tawfik after the Al Ahly full-back came off injured just 11 minutes into the game again against Nigeria.

In his absence, Future FC defender Mohamed Abdelmoneim should slot in at right-back after a solid performance after coming on as a substitute.

Meanwhile, with their goalless draw against Sudan on Tuesday, Guinea-Bissau have now failed to find the target in five consecutive games and we expect Cande to make a few tactical changes in attack.

Mama Balde is currently on an eight-game goal drought for club and country, and the Troyes forward could drop to the substitutes' bench, with 24-year-old Steve Ambri pushing for a starting role.

Guinea-Bissau possible starting lineup:
Gomis; Cande, Mane, Sangante, Encada; Cassama, Nogueira, Pele; Piqueti, Mendy, Ambri

Egypt possible starting lineup:
El-Shennawy; Abdelmoneim, Hegazi, Hamdi, Fatouh; Fathi, El-Sulya, Elneny; Mohamed, Marmoush, Salah


SM words green background

We say: Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Egypt

Egypt risk a shock early exit from the tournament as they find themselves bottom in the group and without a point. However, looking at the gulf in quality between the two sides, we anticipate the Pharaohs will come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.


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Game History

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Egypt

Guinea-Bissau
17.1%
Draw
2.9%
Egypt
80.0%
70
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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