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Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
St Mirren logo

Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren

Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')

Preview: Hearts vs. St Mirren - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hearts and St Mirren both failed to win on their return from the international break last weekend, which is something they will look to put right on Saturday when they face each other.

The hosts are only four points away from the league leaders at the moment, while the visitors sit in midtable, being just six points above the relegation zone.


Match preview

Hearts' Liam Boyce celebrates scoring with teammates against Hibernian on October 31, 2020© Reuters

Hearts suffered only their second defeat of the season last weekend when they faced Motherwell, conceding a goal in either half as they struggled to get a foothold in the game.

The Jam Tarts finished the fixture with 10 men as Taylor Moore was sent off, adding further misery to the club upon their return from the international break.

Despite that, they are only four points behind Rangers at the moment, keeping themselves in the title race and they will be hoping to add pressure to them this weekend.

However, the squad have only managed one victory in their previous six fixtures, which is something that the club needs to turn around sooner rather than later.

The last time they faced St Mirren was the second game of the season and that did lead to a victory for Hearts, with the Buddies finishing that game with 10 men.

St Mirren manager Jim Goodwin pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Goals from Liam Boyce and Andy Halliday secured the 2-1 victory on that day which is a result that the visiting team will be hoping not to repeat at the weekend.

However, St Mirren have been in equally as poor form as of late as they too have only won once in their last six matches, with a trio of draws in that period.

The Buddies were held to a 1-1 draw at the weekend when they hosted Livingston, as they conceded in the 88th minute, despite the fact they originally had the lead via Jamie McGrath.

Goals have been a problem for Jim Goodwin's squad though, having only scored once in their previous three fixtures, which is not ideal against one of the strongest defensive units in the league.

While St Mirren are currently in midtable, they are only six points above the relegation zone, with just three separating them and Livingston, who sit in 10th, placing slightly more pressure on the performance.

Hearts Scottish Premiership form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Hearts form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

St Mirren Scottish Premiership form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

St Mirren form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin pictured on August 9, 2020© Reuters

Conor McCarthy was forced to withdraw during the recent draw with Livingston and he will likely be unavailable again at the weekend, which could provide the chance for Charles Dunne to start.

Eamonn Brophy was brought back into the starting lineup during that fixture and that is something that could continue, seeing him lead the line with McGrath.

After his red card against Motherwell, Moore will be unavailable for Hearts and that could open the door for Craig Halkett to make his return after his hip injury.

There could also be a change offensively as well, with Boyce potentially taking back his place in the starting XI with Josh Ginnelly dropping down to the bench.

Hearts possible starting lineup:
Gordon; Kingsley, Souttar, Dunne; Smith, Devlin, Baningime, Cochrane; Woodburn, McKay; Boyce

St Mirren possible starting lineup:
Alnwick; Shaughnessy, Dunne, Fraser; Tait, Power, Flynn, Tanser, Ronan; Brophy, McGrath


SM words green background

We say: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

Even though Hearts have been in poor form recently, the club do have a stronger squad and they have proven themselves to be tough to defeat throughout the campaign.

They should have enough quality to earn the three points in this particular fixture, keeping themselves in the hunt at the top of the league.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
55.6%
Draw
27.8%
St Mirren
16.7%
18
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Hearts' Liam Boyce celebrates scoring with teammates against Hibernian on October 31, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock184681935-1618
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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