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[monks data]
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
FC Twente logo

Heracles
1 - 1
FC Twente

Fadiga (36')
Laursen (41'), Fadiga (45+1')
Ouahim (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smal (45+2')
Pleguezuelo (40'), Brenet (74'), van Wolfswinkel (90+4')

Preview: Heracles vs. FC Twente - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Coming off the back of respective victories last time out, Heracles and FC Twente go head-to-head at the Erve Asito on Saturday.

The away side will be looking to complete a league double over their hosts following a 1-0 win in November's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019© Reuters

FC Twente got the better of Sparta Rotterdam in a routine 2-0 triumph at the Grolsch Veste Stadium on Friday.

Ricky van Wolfswinkel put Ron Jans's men ahead midway through the first half before Michel Vlap doubled his side's lead three minutes shy of the hour mark.

The Tukkers currently occupy fourth place in the Eredivisie table, three points behind Feyenoord in the race for an automatic Conference League playoff spot.

Coming up next is a trip to an opposing ground which does not hold happy memories of late for Twente, who have failed to win on any of their last four visits.

However, the Enschede-based outfit are on a run of three straight away victories and will be looking to keep up their good form on the road.

Heracles narrowly edged past Groningen in a hard-fought 1-0 win at the Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion on Sunday.

Nikolai Laursen's 22nd-minute strike proved to be the difference as Frank Wormuth's men secured all three points.

The Heraclieden sit 12th in the league standings at the moment, but their hopes of a top-half remain alive as they only trail ninth-placed Go Ahead Eagles by three points.

With 25 of their 33 points coming in home games, no team outside the top seven has picked up more points on their own turf than Saturday's hosts.

Heracles Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Heracles form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

FC Twente Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

FC Twente form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Heracles' duo of Ismail Azzaoui and Kaj Sierhuis are both ruled out of Saturday's game through knee injuries.

Janis Blaswich is also unavailable for the home side due to a muscle injury, while Orestis Kiomourtzoglou continues to nurse an ankle problem.

Sinan Bakis failed to extend his goalscoring streak to three matches last time out, but the forward is still one to keep an eye on.

Ennio van der Gouw is Twente's only guaranteed absentee for this one, as the 21-year-old remains sidelined with a leg injury.

Ricky van Wolfswinkel's opener against Sparta was his 15th league strike in what has been an outstanding debut campaign with this weekend's visitors.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Bucker; Knoester, Hoogma, Rente; Roosken, Schoofs, Ouahim, De la Torre, Fadiga; Bakis, Laursen

FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Unnerstall; Smal, Pleguezuelo, Propper, Brenet; Zerrouki, Sadilek; Limnios, Vlap, Misidjan; Van Wolfswinkel


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 0-1 FC Twente

Three of the last four encounters involving the teams have ended all-square with the only exception being the most recent clash earlier in the season. We expect another tight affair here and the narrowest of victories for Twente come the final whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Heracles vs FC Twente

Heracles
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
FC Twente
72.7%
11
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6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
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9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
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