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Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
Groningen

Heracles
1 - 0
Groningen

Burgzorg (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

da Cruz (46')

Preview: Heracles vs. Groningen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Groningen travel to Heracles on Saturday hoping to keep the pressure up on those around them in the race to qualify for European football next season.

The away side will be hoping to exact revenge on their hosts, who inflicted a 1-0 defeat on them when the sides met in December.


Match preview

Heracles were on course for a second win on the bounce after taking a 2-0 half-time lead against PEC Zwolle on Wednesday, through strikes from Lucas Schoofs and Delano Burgzorg.

However, their hosts rallied in the second half to secure a hard-earned point, keeping the gap between them in the Eredivisie table at one point.

Frank Wormuth and his men now face a more difficult task against Groningen, but they will take inspiration from their aforementioned victory over them earlier in the season.

Top scorer Rai Vloet is without a goal in his last four games in all competitions, but his manager will not be panicking just yet as he has played relatively well in that time.

Groningen picked up their second league victory of the year on Wednesday, seeing off the challenge of ADO Den Haag in a comfortable 3-0 home victory.

Jorgen Strand Larsen was on target for his side once more, and the 20-year-old Norwegian is now up to eight Eredivisie goals for the season.

His goal was sandwiched in between strikes from Ramon-Pascal Lundqvist and Alessio Da Cruz which helped Danny Buijs's men to their fifth home win of the campaign, which is bettered by only Ajax, Vitesse and PSV Eindhoven.

If Groningen are to appear in Europe for the first time in five years, then keeping their good form at home will be a huge determining factor.

Saturday's visitors have lost on their last two trips to the Erve Asito, and they will be keen on avoiding a third defeat in a row.

Heracles Eredivisie form: WLWLWD
Heracles form (all competitions): LWLLWD

Groningen Eredivisie form: LDWDLW


Team News

With three goals in his last three games, Delano Burgzorg has come to the fore in recent weeks for the home side, and he will be looking to continue that rich vein of form.

Mats Knoester has missed Heracles' last four games with a knee problem which he suffered in the 4-0 demolition of Emmen two Wednesdays ago.

With him on the sidelines for the home team is Navajo Bakboord, who is yet to feature this season owing to a muscle injury he sustained over a year ago.

Another player who has been out for quite a while is Groningen's Arjen Robben, who has only featured in the first two games of the season since his return to the Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion.

The legendary Dutch winger could well make his return to action soon, which would be a real boost for his side's quest to finish in the top four.

Heracles possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Quagliata, Propper, Rente, Breukers; Schoofs, Azzaoui, De La Torre; Van De Water, Vloet, Burgzorg

Groningen possible starting lineup:
Padt; Gudmundsson, Van Hintum, Itakura, Angel Leal; Lundqvist, Van Kaam, Da Cruz; Suslov, Strand Larsen, El Hankouri


SM words green background

We say: Heracles 1-1 Groningen

While Groningen are arguably the better team, they have struggled more often than not in away games at Heracles, who will be keen to keep it that way.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Heracles vs Groningen

Heracles
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Groningen
44.0%
25
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Tables header RHS
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2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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