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Hull logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The KCOM Stadium
Swansea logo

Hull City
2 - 0
Swansea

Eaves (5'), Lewis-Potter (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Manning (80'), Walsh (85')

Preview: Hull City vs. Swansea City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Shota Arveladze will be in the dugout for his first Hull City game when the Tigers host Swansea City in the Championship on Saturday.

The former Rangers and Ajax striker takes over with the Yorkshire outfit currently 19th in the Championship table, three points behind the Swans who are 17th.


Match preview

Hull City's Ryan Longman celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 22, 2022© Reuters

New Hull owner Acun Ilicali made his first big decision at the MKM Stadium this week, relieving Grant McCann of his duties despite the Tigers securing impressive wins with clean sheets over promotion-chasing Blackburn Rovers and Bournemouth in the last two matches.

However, the Turkish businessman said that he "wouldn't be fair or honest" if he waited for a defeat to change manager and Arveladze was confirmed as the new boss on Thursday.

Only Barnsley and Cardiff City have picked up fewer points at home in the Championship this season than Hull, but the Tigers have lost just one of their last five league games at the MKM Stadium.

They also remain the joint-second lowest scorers in the second tier with 23 goals in 27 games and are reportedly targeting a move for Serbian striker Aleksander Pesic before the end of the transfer window.

Swansea City manager Russell Martin on January 25, 2022© Reuters

Swansea have not won on their last five visits to Hull since a 1-0 victory in the Premier League in December 2014.

The current Swans team have recorded just one victory in their last six Championship games, but are unbeaten in their last three.

Russell Martin's side earned a hard-fought point in a 0-0 draw away at playoff contenders Queens Park Rangers on Tuesday evening.

Although they have games in hand over all the teams above them, a place in the top six now seems a long shot for the Welsh side who were beaten by Brentford in the playoff final last season.

Three of the last four games between Hull and Swansea have ended in draws, including a goalless stalemate at the Liberty Stadium earlier this season.

Hull City Championship form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Hull City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Swansea City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Swansea City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D



Team News

General view of Hull City's KCOM Stadium taken May 2017© Reuters

Shota Arveladze's preferred formation is 4-2-3-1, so Hull could move away from the three-man defence system that has served them well in recent weeks.

Brandon Fleming may come in for his first start of the season at left-back, while centre-back Di'Shon Bernard could fill in at right-back in the absence of Josh Emmanuel and Lewie Coyle.

Midfielder Regan Slater became the Tigers' first signing of the January transfer window on Thursday so could make his debut.

Flynn Downes is suspended for Swansea after being sent off in second-half stoppage time against QPR on Tuesday.

Olivier Ntcham missed the trip to West London through injury, but is expected to return at the MKM Stadium.

Jamie Paterson continues to not be involved with the first team amid a contract dispute with the club's owners.

Hull City possible starting lineup:
Baxter; Bernard, McLoughlin, Greaves, Fleming; Docherty, Smallwood; Longman, Honeyman, Lewis-Potter; Eaves

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Hamer; Cabango, Naughton, Manning; Christie, Smith, Grimes, Latibeaudiere; Ntcham, Wolf; Piroe


SM words green background

We say: Hull City 1-0 Swansea City

Usually a change in manager occurs when a team needs a lift, but confidence will already be high in the Hull camp after impressive back-to-back wins.

We think that the Tigers will be victorious again with Swansea still missing the attacking influence of Paterson.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hull City vs Swansea

Hull City
49.3%
Draw
29.9%
Swansea City
20.9%
67
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Hull City manager Grant McCann acknowledges fans after the match on January 22, 2022
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