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[monks data]
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 9, 2021 at 6pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta United

Inter Miami
1 - 1
Atlanta

Morgan (77')
Gregore (6'), Gonzalez Pirez (70'), Chapman (80'), Azcona (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (9')
Moreno (22'), Lopez (62'), Torres (90')

Preview: Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Inter Miami can match their longest unbeaten run in club history on Sunday when they host Atlanta United at DRV PNK Stadium in Major League Soccer action.

The Herons held Nashville to a 0-0 draw last weekend, while Atlanta are looking to snap a three-game winless streak in all competitions after being knocked out by Philadelphia in the CONCACAF Champions League, 4-1 on aggregate.


Match preview

Gonzalo Higuain in action for Inter Miami in October 2020© Reuters

Heading into the regular season Miami president David Beckham and his team had high expectations.

They went out and purchased several high profile players like former Juventus striker Gonzalo Higuain and 2018 World Cup winner Blaise Matuidi, among others.

In the early stages of this season, they have been more clinical in front of goal, but Phil Neville still needs his side to tighten up defensively.

Last year they conceded a goal in all but three of their matches, and despite bringing in a new manager who knows a lot about defending, that trend has continued as Miami have given up four goals in their first three matches.

The 2021 season has been anything but boring so far for the side from Florida, who conceded twice in the final 20 minutes, losing to the LA Galaxy.

They followed that up with a 2-1 win over the Union as the Higuain brothers rescued three points for the team.

In 2020 consistency was an issue for The Five Stripes, losing three in a row in the regular season on three separate occasions.

Despite being eliminated from the Champions League earlier this week, some positive signs suggest Gabriel Heinze and his team could be turning the corner.

They earned a 0-0 draw away from home in their opening fixture, which they rarely did in 2020, losing six times on the road and picking up only one clean sheet.

Last week, they lost another tight one-goal game, something which this team experienced plenty of times a season ago.

In 2020 Atlanta lost nine games by a single goal, a 27-point swing that could have helped them reach the post-season for a fourth successive campaign.

Inter Miami Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • D

Atlanta United Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • L

Atlanta United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Josef Martinez in action for Atlanta United on December 8, 2018© Reuters

Ian Fray is the only injury worry for Phil Neville heading into this fixture, with the centre-back set to miss his fourth match this season with a cruciate ligament injury.

Gonzalo Higuain is off to a hot start in his MLS career with goals in his last two games.

Goalkeeper John McCarthy picked up just his second clean sheet for Inter Miami last Sunday against Nashville, and the top pick in the MLS SuperDraft last year, Robbie Robinson will look to score for the second time in his MLS career.

For Atlanta Mo Adams is out with a hernia, Alec Kann has a shoulder injury and Machop Chol is out with a lower-body injury.

Brooks Lennon, with a head injury, is questionable, while Lisandro Lopez could miss out again for personal reasons.

Former MLS Golden Boot winner Josef Martinez has only appeared as a substitute for The Five Stripes so far, after missing most of 2020 with a torn ACL.

Inter Miami possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Jones, Gonzalez, Shawcross, Leerdam; Matuidi, Gregore; Shea, Ulloa, F. Higuain; G. Higuain

Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Guzan; Gurr, M. Robinson, Walkes, Bello; Hyndman, Sosa, Barco; Lopez, Martinez, Moreno


SM words green background

We say: Inter Miami 2-0 Atlanta United

Acquiring experienced players who know what it takes to win at both club and international level appears to be paying off for the team from South Beach, who look hungry to rise to prominence in MLS.

Atlanta have not looked bad so far this season but have not shown they can win on the road or find a way to win close games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Atlanta

Inter Miami
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
Atlanta United
5.6%
18
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David Beckham pictured in February 2020
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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