International Friendlies
Jun 2, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Martin Baturina 42' yellowcard
  • Ante Budimir 62' yellowcard
  • goal Youri Tielemans 38'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 49'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 69'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 90'+6'

Croatia vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 1.00am
Brazil 3 - 1 Croatia

Belgium

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 2.00am
Mexico 1 - 1 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.54% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Croatia 46.96% (+0.04)
Draw 26.54%
Belgium 26.5% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.89% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.17% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.83% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 49.61%
Under 2.5 50.39%
Over 3.5 29.06%
Under 3.5 70.94%
Over 4.5 17.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.94% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Croatia 40.44%
Draw 36.85%
Belgium 22.71%

Team To Score First

Croatia 55.28% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.15% (+0.01)
Belgium 36.57%

Corners

Over 8 60.73%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 49.36%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 39.27%
Over 10.5 38.48%
Under 10.5 61.52%

Croatia Goals

Over 1.5 44.32% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.68% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.7% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.2%
Under 3.5 91.8%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 61.08% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 38.92% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.22% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.78% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.26% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.39% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Croatia 46.95%
Draw 26.54%
Belgium 26.5%
Croatia
1-0 @ 11.13% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 7.87%
Total : 46.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 26.54%
Belgium
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Total : 26.5%

Head to Head

World Cup
Dec 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Romelu Lukaku 38' goal