Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.17% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (8.41%).