Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for New Zealand had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest New Zealand win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%).