Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.87% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.