/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
-
Jørgen Strand Larsen
8'
-
Antonio Nusa
18'
-
Jørgen Strand Larsen
37'
-
Hjalmar Ekdal
70'
-
Alexander Isak
76'
Norway vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 59.26%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 20.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (5.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
Norway
59.26%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
20.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Sweden
20.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
59.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 1.5
84.14%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
15.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
64.1%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
35.9%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
41.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
58.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
27.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
72.38%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Norway
43.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
37.42%
▲
(+0.07)
Sweden
19.19%
▼
(-0.05)
Team To Score First
Norway
65.51%
▲
(+0.20)
No Goal
3.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Sweden
30.59%
▼
(-0.20)
Corners
Over 8
51.64%
▼
(-0.18)
Equal 8
11.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
37.02%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 9
40.6%
▼
(-0.15)
Equal 9
11.03%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 9
48.36%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 10.5
30.7%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 10.5
69.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Norway Goals
Over 1.5
60.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
39.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
34.73%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
65.27%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
16.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
83.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5
57.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
42.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
27.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
72.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
10.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
89.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
3.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Norway
59.26%
Draw
20.29%
Sweden
20.44%
Norway
2-1
@
10.08%
▼
(-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 16.09%
Total : 59.26%
2-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 16.09%
Total : 59.26%
Draw
1-1
@
9.14%
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.29%
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.29%
Sweden
1-2
@
5.38%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.44%
Head to Head
-
Erling Braut Haaland
10'
-
Martin Odegaard
40'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
54'
-
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
56'
-
Sander Berge
64'
-
Alexander Sorloth
77'
-
Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
84'
-
Dejan Kulusevski
8'
-
Emil Krafth
56'
-
Emil Forsberg
62'
-
Gabriel Gudmundsson
78'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
90'+5'
-
Ole Selnaes
28'
-
Bjorn Johnsen
41'
-
Havard Nordtveit
53'
-
Joshua King
59'
-
Bjorn Johnsen
63'
-
Kristoffer Ajer
69'
-
Ola Kamara
96'
-
Kristoffer Olsson
29'
-
Viktor Claesson
55'
-
Viktor Claesson
70'
-
Filip Helander
73'
-
Havard Nordtveit
86'
(OG)
-
Robin Quaison
91'